42m
0xec2e0de8e33b6a7cfa37bdc5f0c3f9ac460aeb7c
- Realised P&L
- $-205.86
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $16.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? · Yes | 0.410 | 0.021 | $10.74 | −$199.26 |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026? · No | 0.420 | 0.735 | $3.50 | +$1.50 |
| Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.186 | $2.33 | +$0.33 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET · Up | 0.363 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.11at 0.180Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?
- +$7.47at 0.118Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?
- +$0.33at 0.465Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?
- +$-0.00at 0.140Nothing Ever Happens: Elon Edition
- +$-0.55at 0.539Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-18 10:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $0.86 |
| 04-18 10:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $0.91 |
| 04-18 10:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5599998432 | $0.94 |
| 04-18 10:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999896 | $1.86 |
| 04-18 10:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $0.93 |
| 04-18 10:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $0.93 |
| 04-18 10:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | SELL | 0.77 | $1.40 |
| 04-18 10:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $0.93 |
| 04-18 10:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $0.93 |
| 04-18 10:35 | Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? | BUY | 0.2024057218 | $10.00 |
| 01-20 16:37 | Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? | BUY | 0.4327755328 | $200.00 |
| 01-17 12:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down on January 17? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 01-17 12:21 | Thailand strikes Cambodia by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0474580653 | $2.00 |
| 01-16 10:00 | Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3899998908 | $2.00 |
| 01-15 12:34 | LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |