0x774f051360042f89454b9061e6a6f3df46ef8779
0x774f051360042f89454b9061e6a6f3df46ef8779
- Realised P&L
- $-126.97
- Volume
- $238.7k
- Markets traded
- 320
- Open portfolio
- $142.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded320
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$330.00at 0.150Will any bracket survive the first round of the NCAA tournament?
- +$221.29at 0.002Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
- +$189.44at 0.007Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
- +$175.49at 0.485Will Jon Rothstein tweet "This is March" 81+ times during March Madness?
- +$139.44at 0.143Will Golden State Valkyries win the 2026 WNBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:41 | Will $ANSEM dip to $0.01 before 2027? | BUY | 0.151 | $7.55 |
| 11-01 21:26 | Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.21 |
| 11-01 14:10 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.42 |
| 11-01 14:05 | Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets in November 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.81 |
| 11-01 14:03 | Will "Buddy of Mine" be said during the first Joe Rogan Experience of the week of November 2? | BUY | 0.22 | $4.84 |
| 11-01 13:53 | Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.89 |
| 11-01 13:31 | Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.0165126321 | $6.27 |
| 11-01 13:23 | Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.0067312406 | $1.25 |
| 11-01 03:16 | Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.015 | $1.50 |
| 11-01 03:13 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.0074659459 | $1.66 |
| 11-01 03:03 | Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.50 |
| 11-01 00:15 | Will Kiah Stokes win the 2026 WNBA Finals MVP? | BUY | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 10-31 01:01 | Will Mikel Brown Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.31 |
| 10-31 00:46 | Will Aday Mara win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.014 | $4.49 |
| 10-31 00:43 | Will Cameron Carr win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.23 |