PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x774f051360042f89454b9061e6a6f3df46ef8779

Realised P&L
$-100.23
Volume
$232.2k
Markets traded
287
Open portfolio
$12.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded287
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? · Yes0.0380.019$4.33$4.11
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? · Yes0.1000.025$2.72$8.38
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? · Yes0.0900.115$2.71+$0.59
Will 7 or more people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.125$1.63+$0.33
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0150.001$0.48$13.77
Elon Bull Run Combo · Yes0.1600.056$0.39$0.73
Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026? · Yes0.2030.004$0.19$8.44
Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0150.001$0.06$1.56
Will MrBeast hit 525 million subscribers by August 31? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$0.87
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$1.05
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$1.01
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$1.10
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$1.33
Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s US Open? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$2.66
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets in August 2026? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$4.42

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-23 01:58Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31?BUY0.205$6.15
08-23 01:55Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?SELL0.13$6.50
08-23 01:29Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?BUY0.008$1.01
08-21 10:11Will Warsh say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?BUY0.51$5.61
08-21 09:28Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?BUY0.001$0.67
08-21 09:27Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?BUY0.004$0.96
08-21 09:16Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?BUY0.003$0.91
08-18 19:35Will Belinda Bencic win the 2026 Women’s US Open?BUY0.007$1.76
08-18 19:26Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?BUY0.02$1.10
08-18 18:52Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?BUY0.006$1.05
08-18 18:47Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?BUY0.009$1.11
08-18 18:46Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?BUY0.002$0.07
08-18 18:38Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?BUY0.0080540541$0.89
08-18 18:37Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?BUY0.0081071429$0.91
08-17 23:01Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s US Open?BUY0.024$2.66