0x774f051360042f89454b9061e6a6f3df46ef8779
- Realised P&L
- $-100.23
- Volume
- $232.2k
- Markets traded
- 287
- Open portfolio
- $12.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded287
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$938.30at 0.007Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in July 2026?
- +$330.00at 0.150Will any bracket survive the first round of the NCAA tournament?
- +$221.29at 0.002Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
- +$220.83at 0.005Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in July 2026?
- +$212.69at 0.042Will Elon Musk post 680-719 tweets in July 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-23 01:58 | Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 570m by August 31? | BUY | 0.205 | $6.15 |
| 08-23 01:55 | Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $6.50 |
| 08-23 01:29 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.01 |
| 08-21 10:11 | Will Warsh say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28? | BUY | 0.51 | $5.61 |
| 08-21 09:28 | Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.67 |
| 08-21 09:27 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.96 |
| 08-21 09:16 | Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.91 |
| 08-18 19:35 | Will Belinda Bencic win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.76 |
| 08-18 19:26 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.10 |
| 08-18 18:52 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.05 |
| 08-18 18:47 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.11 |
| 08-18 18:46 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.07 |
| 08-18 18:38 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.0080540541 | $0.89 |
| 08-18 18:37 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.0081071429 | $0.91 |
| 08-17 23:01 | Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | BUY | 0.024 | $2.66 |