PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x44d389960f1c0926d67b01000dc1445589f1f4ff

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$86.8k
Markets traded
3,033
Open portfolio
$204.32

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,033
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration56.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)6.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8900.895$63.01+$0.35
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027? · No0.9090.970$18.00+$1.12
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.9000.996$17.34+$1.67
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? · No0.8880.977$16.84+$1.53
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9000.925$16.10+$0.44
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? · No0.8960.928$15.83+$0.54
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series? · No0.9100.895$15.40$0.26
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · No0.8900.945$12.67+$0.74
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.964$8.59+$0.66
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? · No0.9060.989$8.18+$0.68
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. SSG Landers · Samsung Lions0.5800.488$3.90$0.74
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? · Yes0.1190.021$3.40$15.83
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. NC Dinos · Hanwha Eagles0.5300.251$2.25$2.52
Alix Earle on Call Her Daddy by December 31? · Yes0.7600.248$2.07$4.26
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.2180.009$0.71$17.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 01:36Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York MetsBUY0.04$5.00
09-18 01:11Washington Mystics vs. Chicago SkyBUY0.06$5.04
09-17 18:00Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati RedsBUY0.03$5.01
09-17 17:19Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati RedsBUY0.09$5.04
09-17 01:15Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati RedsBUY0.06$5.04
09-17 01:01Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago CubsBUY0.05$5.00
09-17 00:57Athletics vs. Tampa Bay RaysBUY0.09$5.04
09-17 00:53Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington NationalsBUY0.06$5.04
09-17 00:09Baltimore Orioles vs. New York MetsBUY0.06$5.04
09-16 20:58Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue JaysBUY0.05$5.00
09-16 19:05Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland GuardiansBUY0.06$5.04
09-16 04:40Miami Marlins vs. Arizona DiamondbacksBUY0.18$9.90
09-16 02:48San Diego Padres vs. Colorado RockiesBUY0.07$9.94
09-16 01:08Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue JaysBUY0.04$5.00
09-16 01:07Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington NationalsBUY0.06$5.04