PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

babydogebox

0x118418e8af3a8441ea5e0268ad4ae8b6cb761b67

Realised P&L
$468.68
Volume
$273.4k
Markets traded
265
Open portfolio
$647.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded265
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · No0.7300.500$466.50−$214.59
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3640.040$52.92−$429.08
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · No0.8800.952$50.46+$3.82
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? · Yes0.4800.480$41.28+$0.00
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7420.091$14.56−$104.16
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · No0.7410.974$9.73+$2.33
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? · Yes0.1200.039$8.31−$17.25
Dan Clancy out as Twitch CEO before 2027? · No0.8100.965$3.86+$0.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-16 04:57Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?SELL0.82$358.34
04-23 12:49Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 1.5BUY0.19$203.87
04-21 08:43T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Most Sixes Afghanistan WinnerSELL0.022$6.29
04-21 08:43T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Most Sixes Afghanistan WinnerSELL0.022$12.21
04-21 03:17Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreSELL0.22$69.08
04-21 02:57Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreSELL0.22$66.44
04-21 02:55Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreSELL0.22$59.84
04-21 02:52Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: Both Teams to ScoreSELL0.22$206.80
04-13 16:17Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL0.87$587.25
04-13 11:20Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.81$353.97
04-13 10:49T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Most Sixes Afghanistan WinnerBUY0.899$756.06
04-13 10:42Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.88$640.64
04-13 09:25Will Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?SELL0.36$289.80
04-13 04:21Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?SELL0.23$13.34
04-13 04:19Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?SELL0.23$9.89