AlyssaSullivan5359
0x1a4128a4ca248d9a11a5ea7203a87e1262e41160
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $106.7k
- Markets traded
- 116
- Open portfolio
- $896.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded116
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$266.34at 0.520Will Trump say "America" or "American" first during the 2026 State of the Union address?
- +$248.94at 0.250Will Keir Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
- +$185.40at 0.220Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
- +$134.10at 0.550Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 3 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?
- +$116.77at 0.501Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahce
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 04:54 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.96 | $17.28 |
| 04-23 10:50 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $151.80 |
| 04-12 16:01 | Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | SELL | 0.57 | $399.57 |
| 04-12 16:00 | Will Trump post "God Bless America" this week on Truth Social? | SELL | 0.56 | $488.32 |
| 04-12 11:45 | Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam? | BUY | 0.62 | $434.62 |
| 04-12 10:53 | Will Trump post "God Bless America" this week on Truth Social? | BUY | 0.68 | $592.96 |
| 04-12 08:47 | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30? | SELL | 0.86 | $426.56 |
| 04-12 08:45 | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30? | SELL | 0.86 | $368.94 |
| 04-12 00:44 | Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.89 | $343.54 |
| 04-12 00:43 | Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.87 | $470.67 |
| 04-09 13:40 | Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 04-08 00:26 | Will Strava’s market cap be between $3B and $4B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.81 | $750.87 |
| 04-07 11:00 | Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30? | BUY | 0.88 | $814.00 |
| 04-07 08:35 | Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $411.04 |
| 03-30 16:46 | Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $347.62 |