KathyLawson7301
0x33e2f44ca80822ab8b638b2a6ba4a90cdf22e1ba
- Realised P&L
- $2.3k
- Volume
- $213.1k
- Markets traded
- 207
- Open portfolio
- $289.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded207
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.150 | 0.810 | $214.65 | +$174.90 |
| Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No | 0.980 | 1.000 | $45.31 | +$0.88 |
| Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.075 | $25.54 | −$22.14 |
| Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.021 | $4.47 | −$25.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.520Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-4.5)
- +$685.62at 0.220Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5
- +$543.48at 0.210Will 'The Mountain' - Gorillaz debut week album sales be less than 50k?
- +$452.70at 0.290Will The MongolZ qualify to Blast Open Rotterdam Playoffs?
- +$394.02at 0.120Will Simone Lupinacci as Izuku Midoriya (My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Italian) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 08:38 | Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $62.40 |
| 04-27 08:35 | Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.65 | $382.20 |
| 04-21 03:50 | Will Iran strike Ghawar Field by April 30? | SELL | 0.07 | $3.50 |
| 04-13 16:49 | Will Trump say "Nuke" this week? (April 19) | SELL | 0.64 | $472.32 |
| 04-13 16:08 | US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | SELL | 0.45 | $439.20 |
| 04-13 15:36 | Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $1.1k |
| 04-13 15:35 | Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.84 | $11.76 |
| 04-13 14:46 | Will Trump say "Nuke" this week? (April 19) | BUY | 0.77 | $568.26 |
| 04-13 13:05 | US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | BUY | 0.47 | $458.72 |
| 04-13 12:08 | Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.82 | $560.88 |
| 04-13 05:14 | Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.54 | $532.44 |
| 04-13 04:27 | Will Iran strike Abqaiq oil processing facility by April 30? | SELL | 0.82 | $915.94 |
| 04-12 15:01 | Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05? | SELL | 0.61 | $295.24 |
| 04-12 15:00 | Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05? | SELL | 0.61 | $28.06 |
| 04-12 14:24 | Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $512.72 |