PolyBot

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Will Simon peak at Category 5?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-22
Resolves by
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.25. up 0.11 over the period, from 0.14. Range 0.07 to 0.67. 66 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.373131
0.385687
0.3913100
0.4217117
0.4322139
0.4425164
0.477171
0.4850221
0.5230251
0.7480331
0.955336
0.9816352

Spread0.18Mid0.28

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.19127127
0.1826153
0.1715168
0.14128297
0.1320317
0.115322
0.10333655
0.0771726
0.0683809
0.055814
0.0110824

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.81127127
0.8226153
0.8315168
0.86128297
0.8720317
0.895322
0.90333655
0.9371726
0.9483809
0.955814
0.9910824

Spread0.18Mid0.72

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.633131
0.625687
0.6113100
0.5817117
0.5722139
0.5625164
0.537171
0.5250221
0.4830251
0.2680331
0.055336
0.0216352

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
cosmicsteaksYes1,121.95
Blue-HorseshoeYes199.36
yuyang0128Yes183.36
0x6b25…7a69Yes106.65
erFiodenaYes46.51
0xe597…02caYes40
0x4629…f3b1Yes30
tradetosurvive1Yes24.07
0x8B8b9c565C8dCA43cfb767F0F2C20B2B323d2512-1778811726293Yes22.06
ConsensusOfCredibleReportingYes21.53
KristerkbYes21
bullbull88Yes20
pegasus7Yes13.23
pppnnYes13.1
asd56Yes11.55
shiifooYes5.08
0xa5ef…2966No1,040.81
rocky42013No263.61
mr.figNo245
AJSVNo64.86

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
07:41:27BUYNo0.699999990621$14.87
07:41:25BUYNo0.709999987220$14.39
07:04:03BUYNo0.63529625$15.88
06:37:08SELLNo0.614170141812$7.36
06:37:03SELLNo0.6312$7.56
03:34:21BUYYes0.3545$15.62
03:14:50BUYNo0.675$3.35
03:14:44BUYYes0.3125$7.75
02:58:51BUYYes0.312230652553$16.46
02:37:09BUYYes0.3125$7.75
02:26:24BUYYes0.2812$3.36
02:25:08BUYYes0.289999998659$17.08
01:15:39BUYYes0.20$0.01
01:15:38BUYYes0.220$3.95
00:58:06SELLNo0.80$0.18
00:43:37SELLNo0.820$16.00
00:36:16BUYYes0.232567937618$4.14
00:36:16BUYYes0.2165$13.65
00:04:21BUYNo0.819999994120$16.57
23:22:10BUYYes0.15650$7.80
23:15:21BUYNo0.863$2.79
23:14:21BUYNo0.8617$14.40
23:14:21BUYNo0.8521$18.11
23:14:19BUYNo0.84999999717$14.31
23:14:19BUYNo0.849999991712$10.22