Blue-Horseshoe
0xc676679416e4b234de28c4db991c07c9480af35c
- Realised P&L
- $7.6k
- Volume
- $276.9k
- Markets traded
- 2,564
- Open portfolio
- $1.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,564
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$668.99at 0.244Will the 1996 McLaren F1 GTR sell for at least $35m at auction?
- +$654.81at 0.292Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
- +$504.11at 0.507Will Emily Hawryschuk record the fastest shot at the 2026 WLL All-Star Skills Competition?
- +$440.82at 0.496Will Garth Frizzell win the 2026 Prince George mayoral election?
- +$324.84at 0.015Will Fort Worth, TX face tornado risk on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 23:29 | Will Vance peak at Category 2? | BUY | 0.984 | $38.38 |
| 10-30 08:46 | Will the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) win the most seats in the next Punjab Legislative Assembly election? | BUY | 0.51 | $51.00 |
| 10-30 04:09 | Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin? | SELL | 0.31 | $4.65 |
| 10-29 19:23 | Will Paul Terrett win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 10-29 17:16 | Will Arnab peak as a super cyclonic storm? | BUY | 0.9572857143 | $67.01 |
| 10-29 07:43 | Will Arnab peak as a very severe cyclonic storm? | BUY | 0.9525 | $19.05 |
| 10-29 07:38 | Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? | SELL | 0.999 | $225.00 |
| 10-29 07:27 | Will Chris Lynch win the next Burnie mayoral election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 10-29 07:26 | Will Teeny Brumby win the next Burnie mayoral election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.08 |
| 10-29 00:30 | Will Teeny Brumby win the next Burnie mayoral election? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.24 |
| 10-29 00:29 | Will Chris Lynch win the next Burnie mayoral election? | BUY | 0.14596 | $2.19 |
| 10-29 00:29 | Will Giovanna Simpson win the next Burnie mayoral election? | BUY | 0.73 | $14.60 |
| 10-29 00:28 | Will Giovanna Simpson win the next Burnie mayoral election? | BUY | 0.6941779929 | $37.28 |
| 10-29 00:27 | Will Teeny Brumby win the next Burnie mayoral election? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.15 |
| 10-29 00:25 | Will Teeny Brumby win the next Burnie mayoral election? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.40 |