PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Blue-Horseshoe

0xc676679416e4b234de28c4db991c07c9480af35c

Realised P&L
$7.6k
Volume
$276.9k
Markets traded
2,564
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,564
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will In-fa become a Violent typhoon? · No0.5020.994$412.30+$204.08
Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election? · Yes0.2860.575$316.03+$158.57
Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? · Yes0.8620.994$248.17+$32.95
Will Eugenio Segura Vázquez win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election? · Yes0.3510.850$242.81+$142.62
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.5360.438$87.60−$19.70
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026? · No0.5100.925$69.38+$31.13
Will the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) win the most seats in the next Punjab Legislative Assembly election? · Yes0.5100.600$60.00+$9.00
Will Kaitlyn Christian reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? · No0.5600.800$47.02+$14.10
Will Debra Toporowski win the next Cowichan Valley British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? · Yes0.1000.170$45.70+$18.87
Will Ja'Marr Chase be the highest-scoring WR of the 2026-27 NFL season? · Yes0.2090.455$45.55+$24.57
Will Puka Nacua be the highest-scoring WR of the 2026-27 NFL season? · Yes0.2000.450$45.00+$25.00
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba be the highest-scoring WR of the 2026-27 NFL season? · Yes0.1620.450$33.75+$21.63
Will Trey McBride be the highest-scoring TE of the 2026-27 NFL season? · Yes0.2400.420$21.00+$9.00
Will Zoey Weil reach the Final of the 2027 PPA Tour Finals? · No0.9790.945$18.90−$0.68
Will Loyal Wooldridge win the next Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? · Yes0.0230.165$16.29+$13.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 23:29Will Vance peak at Category 2?BUY0.984$38.38
10-30 08:46Will the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) win the most seats in the next Punjab Legislative Assembly election?BUY0.51$51.00
10-30 04:09Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?SELL0.31$4.65
10-29 19:23Will Paul Terrett win the next Northern Midlands mayoral election?SELL0.001$0.04
10-29 17:16Will Arnab peak as a super cyclonic storm?BUY0.9572857143$67.01
10-29 07:43Will Arnab peak as a very severe cyclonic storm?BUY0.9525$19.05
10-29 07:38Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia?SELL0.999$225.00
10-29 07:27Will Chris Lynch win the next Burnie mayoral election?SELL0.001$0.03
10-29 07:26Will Teeny Brumby win the next Burnie mayoral election?SELL0.001$0.08
10-29 00:30Will Teeny Brumby win the next Burnie mayoral election?SELL0.02$0.24
10-29 00:29Will Chris Lynch win the next Burnie mayoral election?BUY0.14596$2.19
10-29 00:29Will Giovanna Simpson win the next Burnie mayoral election?BUY0.73$14.60
10-29 00:28Will Giovanna Simpson win the next Burnie mayoral election?BUY0.6941779929$37.28
10-29 00:27Will Teeny Brumby win the next Burnie mayoral election?SELL0.03$0.15
10-29 00:25Will Teeny Brumby win the next Burnie mayoral election?SELL0.04$1.40