Kristerkb
0xac0cd471bdc38c85f0f2ea89df3c35f1a761b324
- Realised P&L
- $-51.69
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $410.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.56at 0.806Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by September 30?
- +$10.38at 0.728Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?
- +$9.27at 0.757Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?
- +$6.90at 0.770Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?
- +$6.37at 0.759Will Anna Wintour attend Khaite?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 09:40 | Will Trump say "Predict" or "Prediction" in September? | BUY | 0.76 | $90.70 |
| 09-26 05:36 | Will "Patient Zero" hit 70m first week streams? | BUY | 0.72 | $90.70 |
| 09-26 01:35 | Will "The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore" first week sales be at least 400k? | BUY | 0.8 | $90.06 |
| 09-25 18:32 | Will Lula win between 41% and 44% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.39 | $4.74 |
| 09-25 18:31 | Will Elon tweet 880-919 times in September 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $8.56 |
| 09-25 18:31 | Will Elon tweet 840-879 times in September 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $8.65 |
| 09-25 18:30 | Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $8.79 |
| 09-25 12:46 | Will Anna Wintour attend Khaite? | BUY | 0.75 | $22.66 |
| 09-25 12:46 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Candace Owens by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $46.80 |
| 09-25 10:49 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by September 30? | SELL | 0.89 | $117.93 |
| 09-25 08:53 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $8.90 |
| 09-25 08:53 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.83 | $8.91 |
| 09-25 08:53 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $8.90 |
| 09-25 08:53 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $8.90 |
| 09-25 08:53 | Will Elon tweet 800-839 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $8.90 |