yuyang0128
0x9a50644e526c1600d68597c7a31e943820db5ca3
- Realised P&L
- $-154.95
- Volume
- $13.4k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $198.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Simon peak at Category 5? · Yes | 0.491 | 0.375 | $68.76 | −$21.35 |
| Will Bangkok's highest 24-hour rainfall on October 4-10 be between 50-100mm? · No | 0.160 | 0.105 | $31.50 | −$16.50 |
| Will Simon peak at Category 4? · No | 0.523 | 0.370 | $25.01 | −$10.34 |
| Will London have less than 35mm of precipitation in October? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.235 | $23.79 | −$5.57 |
| Will Bangkok's highest 24-hour rainfall on October 4-10 be between 50-100mm? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.895 | $17.90 | +$2.30 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.735 | $13.23 | +$1.35 |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.677 | 0.791 | $9.44 | +$1.35 |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 17.5 and 20 million views on day 1? · No | 0.420 | 0.265 | $4.77 | −$2.79 |
| Will Isaias peak at Category 3? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.982 | $3.93 | +$1.17 |
| Will Isaias peak at Category 3? · No | 0.250 | 0.018 | $0.48 | −$6.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.51at 0.450Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?
- +$9.25at 0.931Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in September?
- +$6.89at 0.544Russia lifts diesel export ban by October 15?
- +$5.39at 0.570Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?
- +$3.40at 0.386Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 September 7-13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 05:41 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 15 and 17.5 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.60 |
| 10-10 12:03 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 30 and 35 million views in week 1? | SELL | 0.751 | $17.27 |
| 10-10 10:01 | Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%? | SELL | 0.65 | $15.99 |
| 10-10 10:01 | Will Microsoft launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027? | SELL | 0.32 | $17.60 |
| 10-09 04:18 | Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6775856239 | $8.09 |
| 10-09 03:03 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.62 | $2.48 |
| 10-09 03:03 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | SELL | 0.65 | $9.35 |
| 10-09 03:03 | Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.82 | $12.30 |
| 10-09 03:03 | Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.92 |
| 10-09 03:03 | Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $21.12 |
| 10-09 03:03 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.961 | $48.05 |
| 10-01 21:18 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.20 |
| 10-01 02:41 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.93 |
| 10-01 02:41 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.24 |
| 09-29 10:02 | Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.82 | $12.30 |