pegasus7
0xc0aa2120f81b588b3b3e87efed14beef649d3259
- Realised P&L
- $-161.83
- Volume
- $22.0k
- Markets traded
- 171
- Open portfolio
- $2.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded171
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.80at 0.360Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 3?
- +$2.77at 0.520Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
- +$2.60at 0.370Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 5?
- +$2.36at 0.560Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
- +$2.26at 0.470Ethereum Up or Down - March 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:51 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.64 | $11.42 |
| 08-04 17:26 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 08-04 13:38 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.59 |
| 08-04 13:38 | Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $1.68 |
| 08-04 12:37 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.39 | $0.95 |
| 08-04 12:37 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 5? | SELL | 0.51 | $0.96 |
| 08-04 11:58 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.45 | $4.16 |
| 08-04 10:11 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.25 | $3.94 |
| 08-04 06:41 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 06:16 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 08-04 05:07 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.67 | $13.40 |
| 08-04 04:27 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 08-04 03:20 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 08-04 01:53 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.49 | $0.98 |
| 08-03 21:29 | Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.90 |