PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

pegasus7

0xc0aa2120f81b588b3b3e87efed14beef649d3259

Realised P&L
$-2.1k
Volume
$99.5k
Markets traded
1,638
Open portfolio
$43.23

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,638
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)2.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Multipli.fi FDV above $250M one day after launch? · No0.5100.460$13.80−$1.50
Will Real Tomayapo be relegated from the 2026 Bolivia LFPB? · No0.4700.415$8.30−$1.10
Will DAC Dunajská Streda be relegated from the 2026-27 Slovak Niké Liga? · Yes0.4500.275$5.50−$3.50
Will Jayden Reed have 449.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.6400.175$3.50−$9.30
Will Dalton Kincaid have 549.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.3900.140$2.80−$5.00
Will Jayden Daniels have 749.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.3600.130$2.60−$4.60
Will Real Madrid score the most goals in the UCL league phase? · Yes0.1200.065$1.30−$1.10
Will Conor McGregor fight Max Holloway next? · Yes0.4930.186$1.17−$1.92
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Montana be between 550,000 and 600,000? · Yes0.2700.053$1.07−$4.33
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-25 House election by 0%-5%? · Yes0.3900.053$1.07−$6.73
Will Tomáš Morávek be the next Mayor of Plzeň? · Yes0.1500.053$1.06−$1.94
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York gubernatorial election by 0%-5%? · Yes0.0730.040$0.80−$0.66
Will Rafael Fonteles win the 2026 Piauí gubernatorial election? · No0.0700.013$0.26−$1.14
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 16? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$2.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 21:17Celebrations Ultra Premium Collection Price Over/Under $1,253.71 on September 30?SELL0.03$1.50
09-30 21:14Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?SELL0.651$3.25
09-30 21:13Will Gavin McKenna win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy?SELL0.68$34.00
09-28 16:50Will Liquipedia Win the 2026 Esports Supporting Service of the Year Award?SELL0.364$18.20
09-28 15:24Will Rick Devens win Big Brother season 28?SELL0.487$24.35
09-28 15:08Will Wang Chung-ming win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election?SELL0.25$3.13
09-28 15:07Will Wang Chung-ming win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election?SELL0.26$6.93
09-28 15:06Will Wang Chung-ming win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election?SELL0.26$2.81
09-28 15:02Will Wu Tsung-hsien win the next Yilan County Magistrate election?SELL0.31$3.41
09-28 14:57Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by December 31?SELL0.477$28.62
09-28 14:45Will Rick Devens win Big Brother season 28?SELL0.5$5.76
09-28 14:01Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?SELL0.17$1.74
09-28 13:57Will the Malaysian House of Representatives be dissolved by December 31, 2026?SELL0.13$5.29
09-28 13:45Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?SELL0.38$21.20
09-28 13:05Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?SELL0.52$26.00