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Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2027-01-01
Resolves by
https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.011. down 0.005 over the period, from 0.016. Range 0.011 to 0.016. 145 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0163434
0.017200234
0.01980314
0.020500814
0.0282001,014
0.0295191,533
0.0375102,043
0.060402,083
0.0771002,183
0.0843002,483
0.0872002,683
0.2986363,319

Spread0.010Mid0.011

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.006167167
0.0041,4991,666
0.0032,7004,366
0.00212,89217,258
0.001124,002141,260

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.994167167
0.9961,4991,666
0.9972,7004,366
0.99812,89217,258
0.999124,002141,260

Spread0.010Mid0.989

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9843434
0.983200234
0.98180314
0.980500814
0.9722001,014
0.9715191,533
0.9635102,043
0.940402,083
0.9231002,183
0.9163002,483
0.9132002,683
0.7026363,319

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Nik2025Yes5,418.36
0x00E4BeEB4754d843C760092501114b3811F87f67-1771782518094Yes2,587.38
VolkuYes2,449.17
0x3af328BDb7E12Bed891F5B162C37F6C25d2d6214-1778933655688Yes1,272.28
BetsAheadYes1,073.38
0xeE8aef5aDC04FFb8Cb3417233389473246BDf0b0-1773254929104Yes1,040
thecaricatureYes709.92
PibbleAncapYes638.13
MapstorYes574.81
GolftangoYes478.5
0x287b…6a16Yes301.27
Gl2eEnYes291.45
0x5ac9…b12dYes272.91
cyril.kf.chanYes200
nizi15Yes177.59
0xac5d…0234Yes173.81
cyniciamYes157.47
planktonXDYes148
feola4030Yes139.22
Dilo.miloYes127.36

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
14:31:57BUYYes0.01663$1.00
12:40:33BUYNo0.991108$106.96
05:56:42SELLNo0.9842$2.01
17:11:28SELLNo0.984227$223.10
18:05:59SELLYes0.0079586866503$4.00
10:05:41SELLYes0.0105900636167$1.76
03:08:06BUYYes0.0288358662347$10.00
02:42:44BUYYes0.019338499517$10.00
22:33:00SELLNo0.983100$98.30
22:32:48SELLNo0.98318$17.69
22:31:17SELLNo0.98318$17.69
16:37:17BUYNo0.98816$16.02
14:53:48BUYYes0.016999999859$1.00
02:04:26SELLYes0.01244$0.53
12:15:10BUYNo0.978949$927.74
10:43:58BUYYes0.023114$2.63
10:42:43BUYYes0.02251$1.13
10:42:28BUYYes0.02140$0.84
22:15:39SELLYes0.012627057564$0.81
22:53:08SELLYes0.0165910233111$1.85
14:45:33SELLNo0.97762$60.57
22:50:20BUYNo0.97861$59.91
10:08:03BUYYes0.025120$3.00
08:36:08SELLNo0.97524$23.78
08:33:51SELLNo0.9755$5.12