PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x3af328BDb7E12Bed891F5B162C37F6C25d2d6214-1778933655688

0x3af328bdb7e12bed891f5b162c37f6c25d2d6214

Realised P&L
$-6.72
Volume
$2.5k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$105.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1750.205$41.05+$6.03
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0450.029$36.26$21.08
Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0320.033$16.33+$0.61
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0760.045$7.33$5.06
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.048$4.75$2.25
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · No0.1100.024$0.23$0.86
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$0.79
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$1.00
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? · No0.1500.000$0.00$1.05
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$1.60
Starmer out by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$1.00
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? · Yes0.6200.000$0.00$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 15:34Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0336437601$4.33
08-03 21:09Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0314933862$5.79
08-03 21:03Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.63$5.79
08-01 04:54Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0360000006$2.60
08-01 04:50Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.031$3.10
08-01 04:46Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.62$5.70
07-30 23:35Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0304066928$2.50
07-30 23:31Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1899999779$6.79
07-30 23:30Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?BUY0.07$7.00
07-16 08:33Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1714285714$6.00
07-16 08:29Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1799999333$1.78
07-16 08:27Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?BUY0.043516484$4.40
07-07 21:17Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1699999001$1.31
07-07 21:17Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?SELL0.26$1.30
06-26 09:12Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$1.71