PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

BetsAhead

0x00027ec17e9a054f06878b2c3d8722556d3056c9

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$30.3k
Markets traded
66
Open portfolio
$476.98

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded66
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration90.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample37 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0570.043$104.78−$35.21
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0480.025$47.91−$42.09
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0760.031$47.60−$69.05
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1510.060$31.83−$48.17
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1870.065$31.31−$58.69
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2890.285$29.61−$0.39
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0920.051$27.47−$22.53
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · No0.4020.931$23.16+$13.16
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? · No0.7700.705$18.32−$1.68
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.1500.085$17.00−$13.00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No0.5500.935$17.00+$7.00
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2380.085$16.78−$30.22
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2330.065$13.98−$36.02
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0370.011$11.81−$28.19
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1180.031$10.48−$29.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 08:59Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0516334285$100.00
10-28 18:18NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.15$53.91
10-26 20:09Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0584769014$10.00
10-18 10:55Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0301917811$20.00
10-18 10:55Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0807174887$10.00
10-18 10:55Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$20.00
10-13 11:12US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by October 31?SELL0.07$0.99
10-13 11:12Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?SELL0.06$2.14
10-13 11:11Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31?BUY0.8299999842$10.00
10-13 11:10Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0046864874$10.25
10-11 13:17Ukraine coup attempt by December 31, 2027?BUY0.299999994$5.00
10-08 12:12Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0472859816$10.00
10-08 12:12Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0272648727$20.00
09-30 19:13Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0511820147$20.00
09-24 09:14Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3681591994$20.00