BetsAhead
0x00027ec17e9a054f06878b2c3d8722556d3056c9
- Realised P&L
- $-409.37
- Volume
- $23.1k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $853.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.25at 0.487Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$34.15at 0.226Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?
- +$10.35at 0.653Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
- +$8.25at 0.708Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
- +$7.82at 0.390Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 09:12 | Will Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0259481038 | $10.00 |
| 09-09 16:31 | US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by October 31? | SELL | 0.2361703057 | $5.41 |
| 08-31 17:09 | Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0889895641 | $20.00 |
| 08-31 17:06 | Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1014827733 | $30.00 |
| 08-31 13:03 | US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by October 31? | BUY | 0.5393258351 | $20.00 |
| 08-31 13:01 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $30.00 |
| 08-19 19:34 | Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0290000001 | $10.00 |
| 08-19 17:28 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | SELL | 0.991 | $30.34 |
| 08-19 16:49 | Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0893934175 | $100.00 |
| 08-19 16:46 | Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0789999967 | $20.00 |
| 08-19 16:45 | Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0764023178 | $20.00 |
| 08-19 16:45 | Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0775896767 | $20.00 |
| 08-18 08:53 | Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2634146277 | $20.00 |
| 08-18 08:52 | Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |
| 08-18 08:51 | Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0498504487 | $10.00 |