0xac5dcf1586aa57574725f4bbd533e47893a10234
- Realised P&L
- $-23.19
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $27.80
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.065 | $13.61 | −$0.39 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.015 | $8.55 | −$5.45 |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.033 | $5.65 | −$1.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-16.00at 0.012Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 19:36 | Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0402739673 | $7.00 |
| 07-16 19:32 | Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0115057766 | $16.00 |
| 07-16 19:20 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%? | BUY | 0.0237465873 | $14.00 |
| 07-16 19:12 | Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0668754777 | $14.00 |