0x5ac99d7d8023f6b7f10f8b40a087149e3aa9b12d
- Realised P&L
- $-217.13
- Volume
- $33.1k
- Markets traded
- 93
- Open portfolio
- $26.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded93
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.87at 0.187Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
- +$18.02at 0.419Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
- +$12.66at 0.291US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
- +$11.67at 0.300US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
- +$11.19at 0.468Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 05:52 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0229999954 | $5.00 |
| 07-08 05:51 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.207 | $1.26 |
| 07-08 05:51 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.24 | $3.53 |
| 07-08 05:34 | Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0559999949 | $10.00 |
| 07-07 16:12 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 07-06 09:22 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.79 | $1.19 |
| 07-06 09:22 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.83 | $5.12 |
| 07-05 16:23 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3919998244 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 16:22 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31? | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 16:21 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 16:20 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3509999291 | $2.00 |
| 07-05 16:20 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.008999991 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 16:18 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |
| 07-05 16:17 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 09:23 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.4 | $5.18 |