PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5ac99d7d8023f6b7f10f8b40a087149e3aa9b12d

Realised P&L
$-217.13
Volume
$33.1k
Markets traded
93
Open portfolio
$26.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded93
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0550.029$7.78$7.22
Iran Nuke before 2027? · Yes0.0930.048$5.11$4.89
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.1300.085$3.27$1.73
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0140.005$1.96$3.04
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · Yes0.0900.035$1.92$3.08
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1700.055$1.62$3.38
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3920.502$1.28+$0.28
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1400.165$1.18+$0.18
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes0.4700.475$1.01+$0.01
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.1700.145$0.85$0.15
EU dissolves before 2027? · Yes0.0340.015$0.43$0.57
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? · Yes0.0700.018$0.25$0.75
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4300.000$0.00$5.00
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-08 05:52Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0229999954$5.00
07-08 05:51Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.207$1.26
07-08 05:51Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.24$3.53
07-08 05:34Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0559999949$10.00
07-07 16:12Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.1$1.00
07-06 09:22Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.79$1.19
07-06 09:22Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?SELL0.83$5.12
07-05 16:23Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3919998244$1.00
07-05 16:22Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?BUY0.5699998233$1.00
07-05 16:21US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?BUY0.2799999731$5.00
07-05 16:20Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3509999291$2.00
07-05 16:20Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.008999991$1.00
07-05 16:18Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?BUY0.3499998775$1.00
07-05 16:17Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.2699999681$5.00
07-05 09:23Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.4$5.18