Mapstor
0x015148518017c68b8916e3eb6e82f67a5a648c35
- Realised P&L
- $7.06
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $229.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.105 | 0.105 | $151.08 | +$1.08 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.178 | 0.221 | $61.94 | +$11.94 |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.029 | $16.38 | −$13.62 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? · Yes | 0.371 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$68.53 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.68at 0.140Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
- +$8.99at 0.690Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 16:37 | Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0521911229 | $30.00 |
| 04-07 11:53 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | BUY | 0.2099999964 | $37.47 |
| 04-07 11:52 | Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | SELL | 0.5376746667 | $40.33 |
| 04-06 09:32 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.6899999952 | $20.00 |
| 04-05 13:05 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.007 | $10.00 |
| 04-04 17:13 | Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | SELL | 0.3913333333 | $29.35 |
| 04-02 13:00 | Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | BUY | 0.14 | $21.00 |
| 04-02 12:55 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1779999973 | $50.00 |
| 04-02 12:55 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.104747112 | $150.00 |