nizi15
0x4177b761e2f667354b5dc65967519fdf4a0057df
- Realised P&L
- $-926.22
- Volume
- $36.8k
- Markets traded
- 191
- Open portfolio
- $76.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded191
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$160.51at 0.232Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
- +$76.76at 0.163Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
- +$30.61at 0.064Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
- +$18.53at 0.036Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
- +$17.83at 0.725Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 09:01 | Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? | BUY | 0.0744186047 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 09:00 | Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0281553345 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 08:57 | Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0334929106 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 08:55 | Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.299999982 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 08:55 | Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999985 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 08:52 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 09-06 08:52 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0603960284 | $5.00 |
| 09-05 23:09 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.013274272 | $8.30 |
| 09-01 19:47 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 09-01 19:47 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 19:47 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 19:30 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 19:30 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.0279999946 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 19:03 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 09-01 19:03 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0270000002 | $5.00 |