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Traders

nizi15

0x4177b761e2f667354b5dc65967519fdf4a0057df

Realised P&L
$-926.22
Volume
$36.8k
Markets traded
191
Open portfolio
$76.54

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded191
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.1000.115$11.50+$1.50
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2200.155$7.05$2.95
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3000.205$6.83$3.17
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.070$5.83$4.17
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3000.165$5.50$4.50
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0270.029$5.46+$0.46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.085$5.31+$0.31
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0280.026$4.71$0.29
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.0600.055$4.58$0.42
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0800.055$3.44$1.56
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? · Yes0.1000.065$3.25$1.75
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? · Yes0.1100.065$2.95$2.05
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31? · Yes0.0500.025$2.45$2.55
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? · Yes0.0740.032$2.12$2.88
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0600.025$2.07$2.93

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-06 09:01Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?BUY0.0744186047$5.00
09-06 09:00Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0281553345$5.00
09-06 08:57Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0334929106$5.00
09-06 08:55Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.299999982$10.00
09-06 08:55Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?BUY0.219999985$10.00
09-06 08:52Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1199999899$10.00
09-06 08:52Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0603960284$5.00
09-05 23:09US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?SELL0.013274272$8.30
09-01 19:47Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.1$10.00
09-01 19:47Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by October 31?BUY0.05$5.00
09-01 19:47Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.08$5.00
09-01 19:30Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
09-01 19:30Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.0279999946$5.00
09-01 19:03US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by November 30, 2026?BUY0.059999989$5.00
09-01 19:03US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0270000002$5.00