PolyBot

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Traders

0x287b42245e357718fd5a491fb93273eee16e6a16

0x287b42245e357718fd5a491fb93273eee16e6a16

Realised P&L
$-57.63
Volume
$3.7k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$30.07

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration89.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31? · Yes0.0640.043$26.75−$13.25
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0260.011$3.31−$4.69
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET · Up0.2830.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? · No0.9600.000$0.00−$6.64
Ethereum Up or Down - July 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET · Down0.6300.000$0.00−$10.00
Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET · Down0.0370.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET · Up0.0600.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 22? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$10.00
Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 4, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET · Up0.0980.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 09:14Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?BUY0.0782243082$10.00
10-04 14:09Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?BUY0.0690814242$20.00
10-02 09:42Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.74$32.17
09-23 11:21Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?BUY0.026554588$8.00
09-22 08:23Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 22?BUY0.2203735331$10.00
09-22 08:12Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.4599999986$20.00
09-20 11:35Will Russia capture Sloviansk by December 31?BUY0.0471445045$10.00
09-18 18:19Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.8099999951$49.11
09-18 18:07Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.8099999889$2.93
09-18 18:03Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.8099999867$6.11
09-12 07:00Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.8$4.92
09-11 08:07Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.7899999905$10.00
08-28 17:09Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.52$8.38
08-28 05:47Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.3099999622$5.00
08-27 15:54Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?SELL0.06$2.50