PolyBot

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Traders

PibbleAncap

0xa2fefa2b0f646d1136e5a8aa7b2de96544362e87

Realised P&L
$-364.38
Volume
$4.3k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$893.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.6730.765$321.69+$38.69
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.5200.775$149.04+$49.04
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.6510.840$128.64+$28.91
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.6700.855$127.61+$27.61
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7100.835$117.61+$17.61
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.1770.161$30.83$3.17
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0780.029$18.19$31.81
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$9.64
Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3? · No0.3400.000$0.00$78.75
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? · No0.6700.000$0.00$100.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.7400.000$0.00$89.58
Will "Scary Movie" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · Yes0.3580.000$0.00$75.00
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by June 30? · No0.6700.000$0.00$50.00
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? · No0.3980.000$0.00$99.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-28 11:55Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?SELL0.0399823704$11.20
08-20 09:25Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.6999999993$195.00
08-20 09:18Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?BUY0.3568672819$100.00
08-20 09:09Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.1769999962$34.00
06-01 17:50Will "Scary Movie" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?BUY0.3577821088$75.00
05-24 15:15Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3?BUY0.3404652422$78.75
05-17 18:58Iran closes its airspace by June 30?BUY0.3984837492$99.00
05-17 18:56US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.7399999982$89.58
05-17 17:13US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.6699999993$100.00
05-17 17:00Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?BUY0.130314569$9.64
05-17 17:00Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?BUY0.5814806884$47.00
05-17 15:16Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.5799999988$50.00
05-17 15:16Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.5117873045$97.53
05-17 15:15Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5$98.77
05-17 15:15Trump out as President before GTA VI?BUY0.5$49.03