PibbleAncap
0xa2fefa2b0f646d1136e5a8aa7b2de96544362e87
- Realised P&L
- $-364.38
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $893.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.21at 0.580Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$32.84at 0.594Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
- +$30.76at 0.624Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?
- +$-1.23at 0.512Trump out as President before GTA VI?
- +$-2.47at 0.512Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 11:55 | Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? | SELL | 0.0399823704 | $11.20 |
| 08-20 09:25 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.6999999993 | $195.00 |
| 08-20 09:18 | Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31? | BUY | 0.3568672819 | $100.00 |
| 08-20 09:09 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1769999962 | $34.00 |
| 06-01 17:50 | Will "Scary Movie" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.3577821088 | $75.00 |
| 05-24 15:15 | Will Nate Jacobs die in Euphoria: Season 3? | BUY | 0.3404652422 | $78.75 |
| 05-17 18:58 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | BUY | 0.3984837492 | $99.00 |
| 05-17 18:56 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999982 | $89.58 |
| 05-17 17:13 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999993 | $100.00 |
| 05-17 17:00 | Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.130314569 | $9.64 |
| 05-17 17:00 | Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"? | BUY | 0.5814806884 | $47.00 |
| 05-17 15:16 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.5799999988 | $50.00 |
| 05-17 15:16 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5117873045 | $97.53 |
| 05-17 15:15 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $98.77 |
| 05-17 15:15 | Trump out as President before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $49.03 |