PolyBot

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Traders

cyniciam

0x88de464d04615d025c9c0f398b107fef70182f7e

Realised P&L
$-678.89
Volume
$21.4k
Markets traded
388
Open portfolio
$128.66

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded388
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 05:55Will Clavicular be arrested by September 25?BUY0.0721778462$6.00
09-22 05:55Will Clavicular be arrested by September 30?BUY0.1451612901$10.00
09-22 05:51Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.3899999945$5.00
09-22 05:51Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.1589999994$5.00
09-22 05:50Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.5129999839$5.00
09-22 05:49Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.1899999998$10.00
09-22 05:49Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0317514497$5.00
09-22 05:48Will Trump and Putin not meet?BUY0.269999993$10.00
09-22 05:43Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6089999721$10.00
09-22 05:43Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5319999853$10.00
09-22 05:43Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.1173020528$10.00
09-22 05:42Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?BUY0.24$12.00
09-22 05:41US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.3699999867$10.00
09-22 05:41NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3299999924$10.00
09-22 05:38Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.15$10.00