0x00E4BeEB4754d843C760092501114b3811F87f67-1771782518094
0x00e4beeb4754d843c760092501114b3811f87f67
- Realised P&L
- $-878.24
- Volume
- $15.3k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $468.45
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.395 | $175.56 | −$24.44 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.460 | 0.595 | $129.35 | +$29.35 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.505 | 0.575 | $113.87 | +$13.87 |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.028 | 0.026 | $19.13 | −$0.87 |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.047 | $18.01 | −$1.99 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.075 | $12.54 | −$2.46 |
| US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$283.29 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? · Yes | 0.231 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$317.46 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$114.10 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? · No | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$99.15 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$51.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-7.12at 0.288Will the next elected US president be a woman?
- +$-31.24at 0.4202026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 15:21 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | SELL | 0.3 | $73.17 |
| 09-16 06:03 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.12 | $53.45 |
| 09-15 14:29 | Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0277079435 | $20.00 |
| 09-15 14:27 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.0897009963 | $15.00 |
| 09-15 14:26 | Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? | BUY | 0.0521968471 | $20.00 |
| 09-15 11:25 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $50.00 |
| 09-15 11:25 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $50.00 |
| 08-20 15:50 | Will the next elected US president be a woman? | SELL | 0.2557999664 | $45.68 |
| 08-18 16:20 | Will the next elected US president be a woman? | BUY | 0.2799999969 | $50.00 |
| 08-08 14:57 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999992 | $200.00 |
| 08-08 14:51 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5049504943 | $100.00 |
| 08-08 14:50 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4099999976 | $100.00 |
| 08-08 14:49 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.4599999983 | $100.00 |
| 03-03 05:18 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | BUY | 0.2199999992 | $159.15 |
| 03-03 05:14 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | BUY | 0.2199999975 | $58.31 |