0x00E4BeEB4754d843C760092501114b3811F87f67-1771782518094
0x00e4beeb4754d843c760092501114b3811f87f67
- Realised P&L
- $-947.55
- Volume
- $20.8k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $863.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-6.55at 0.189Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$-7.12at 0.288Will the next elected US president be a woman?
- +$-31.24at 0.4202026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
- +$-35.30at 0.460Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 05:03 | Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1259192102 | $100.00 |
| 10-22 05:01 | Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.0910912735 | $100.00 |
| 10-22 03:08 | Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0288358662 | $10.00 |
| 10-22 02:43 | Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.06531601 | $5.00 |
| 10-22 02:43 | Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0649999999 | $15.00 |
| 10-22 02:42 | Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.019338499 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 21:28 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.165 | $45.08 |
| 10-16 05:09 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6299999989 | $100.00 |
| 10-16 05:09 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6299999989 | $100.00 |
| 09-21 01:52 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999971 | $50.00 |
| 09-21 01:52 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999984 | $30.00 |
| 09-21 01:51 | Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.39 | $173.33 |
| 09-21 01:48 | Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999934 | $50.00 |
| 09-19 05:43 | Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0299500732 | $30.00 |
| 09-18 03:03 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1829999998 | $50.00 |