PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x00E4BeEB4754d843C760092501114b3811F87f67-1771782518094

0x00e4beeb4754d843c760092501114b3811f87f67

Realised P&L
$-878.24
Volume
$15.3k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$468.45

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4500.395$175.56$24.44
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4600.595$129.35+$29.35
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5050.575$113.87+$13.87
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0280.026$19.13$0.87
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? · Yes0.0520.047$18.01$1.99
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.0900.075$12.54$2.46
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026? · No0.2900.000$0.00$283.29
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? · Yes0.2310.000$0.00$317.46
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? · No0.3500.000$0.00$114.10
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? · No0.0120.000$0.00$99.15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$51.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 15:212026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseSELL0.3$73.17
09-16 06:03Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.12$53.45
09-15 14:29Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0277079435$20.00
09-15 14:27Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?BUY0.0897009963$15.00
09-15 14:26Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?BUY0.0521968471$20.00
09-15 11:25Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1099999999$50.00
09-15 11:25Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1099999999$50.00
08-20 15:50Will the next elected US president be a woman?SELL0.2557999664$45.68
08-18 16:20Will the next elected US president be a woman?BUY0.2799999969$50.00
08-08 14:57Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.4499999992$200.00
08-08 14:51Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5049504943$100.00
08-08 14:502026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.4099999976$100.00
08-08 14:492026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.4599999983$100.00
03-03 05:18US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY0.2199999992$159.15
03-03 05:14US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY0.2199999975$58.31