PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x00E4BeEB4754d843C760092501114b3811F87f67-1771782518094

0x00e4beeb4754d843c760092501114b3811f87f67

Realised P&L
$-947.55
Volume
$20.8k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$863.09

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5610.705$377.07+$77.07
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1060.075$141.90−$58.10
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5050.705$139.62+$39.62
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6100.585$76.72−$3.28
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6700.745$55.60+$5.60
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0580.050$34.52−$5.47
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0270.011$28.46−$41.53
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.0900.055$9.20−$5.80
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026? · No0.2900.000$0.00−$283.29
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? · Yes0.2310.000$0.00−$317.46
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026? · No0.3500.000$0.00−$114.10
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026? · No0.0120.000$0.00−$99.15
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$51.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-22 05:03Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2027?BUY0.1259192102$100.00
10-22 05:01Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2027?BUY0.0910912735$100.00
10-22 03:08Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0288358662$10.00
10-22 02:43Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by December 31, 2026?BUY0.06531601$5.00
10-22 02:43Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0649999999$15.00
10-22 02:42Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?BUY0.019338499$10.00
10-21 21:28Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.165$45.08
10-16 05:092026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.6299999989$100.00
10-16 05:092026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.6299999989$100.00
09-21 01:52Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6699999971$50.00
09-21 01:52Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6099999984$30.00
09-21 01:51Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?SELL0.39$173.33
09-21 01:48Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.6099999934$50.00
09-19 05:43Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0299500732$30.00
09-18 03:03Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.1829999998$50.00