Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-10

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.033. down 0.015 over the period, from 0.049. Range 0.033 to 0.061. 140 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.034	2,800	2,800
0.035	2,779	5,579
0.036	693	6,272
0.037	437	6,709
0.038	439	7,148
0.039	1,034	8,182
0.040	431	8,613
0.041	322	8,935
0.042	296	9,231
0.043	406	9,637
0.044	240	9,877
0.045	296	10,173

Spread0.002Mid0.033

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.032	509	509
0.031	376	885
0.030	690	1,575
0.021	150	1,725
0.020	500	2,225
0.019	240	2,465
0.018	800	3,265
0.011	13	3,278
0.010	600	3,878
0.006	457	4,335
0.004	1,065	5,400
0.003	5,026	10,426

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.968	509	509
0.969	376	885
0.970	690	1,575
0.979	150	1,725
0.980	500	2,225
0.981	240	2,465
0.982	800	3,265
0.989	13	3,278
0.990	600	3,878
0.994	457	4,335
0.996	1,065	5,400
0.997	5,026	10,426

Spread0.002Mid0.967

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.966	2,800	2,800
0.965	2,779	5,579
0.964	693	6,272
0.963	437	6,709
0.962	439	7,148
0.961	1,034	8,182
0.960	431	8,613
0.959	322	8,935
0.958	296	9,231
0.957	406	9,637
0.956	240	9,877
0.955	296	10,173

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
tsihkodiives	Yes	6,463.77
tiger555	Yes	3,785.78
hanniphampani	Yes	3,241.66
cowcat	Yes	2,863.2
ita770mar	Yes	2,500
MossBerg21	Yes	2,435.93
resfeber	Yes	2,359.73
on-cinema	Yes	2,269.76
goodgmgn	Yes	1,948
thursdays	Yes	1,600.7
knrad	Yes	1,478.21
rubbishjerjer	Yes	1,132.68
ImJustKen	Yes	1,111
Orion96	Yes	903.24
crying-duck	Yes	836.15
Bikesarethebest	Yes	817.92
Santale-Tambre	Yes	803.65
YoelRomeroMMA	Yes	799.95
glassslipper	Yes	749.02
ods777	Yes	722.41

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
08:51:42	BUY	Yes	0.033999968	29	$1.00
07:41:12	BUY	No	0.967	276	$266.42
07:39:03	SELL	Yes	0.033	144	$4.75
15:02:17	SELL	No	0.965	6	$5.32
11:00:32	BUY	No	0.967	6	$5.33
10:12:29	BUY	No	0.966	21	$19.93
09:52:17	BUY	No	0.966	32	$30.91
08:57:41	SELL	No	0.965	26	$25.09
02:03:29	SELL	No	0.964	6	$5.53
00:51:18	BUY	No	0.966	53	$51.20
00:38:09	BUY	No	0.966	5	$4.83
00:38:05	BUY	No	0.966	52	$50.23
00:13:03	BUY	No	0.966	26	$25.12
23:58:27	BUY	No	0.966	19	$18.35
23:50:44	SELL	No	0.964	7	$7.14
23:41:03	BUY	No	0.9659999999	228	$220.05
20:58:32	BUY	No	0.966	6	$5.54
17:38:32	SELL	No	0.964	5	$4.72
17:01:54	SELL	Yes	0.0339214453	286	$9.71
16:45:53	BUY	No	0.966	7	$7.16
16:26:59	BUY	No	0.966	49	$47.33
16:08:59	SELL	Yes	0.03403125	200	$6.81
16:05:50	SELL	Yes	0.035	408	$14.28
13:00:32	BUY	No	0.965	200	$193.00
13:00:09	SELL	Yes	0.036	506	$18.21