Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-10

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.009. up 0.002 over the period, from 0.007. Range 0.006 to 0.009. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.010	15	15
0.011	107	122
0.012	17	139
0.013	21	161
0.014	16	177
0.015	69	245
0.016	62	308
0.017	72	380
0.018	51	431
0.021	16	447
0.022	71	518
0.026	8	526

Spread0.001Mid0.009

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.009	52	52
0.008	1,498	1,550
0.007	2,556	4,107
0.006	50	4,157
0.005	500	4,657
0.004	300	4,957
0.003	813	5,770
0.002	6,917	12,687
0.001	58,100	70,786

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.991	52	52
0.992	1,498	1,550
0.993	2,556	4,107
0.994	50	4,157
0.995	500	4,657
0.996	300	4,957
0.997	813	5,770
0.998	6,917	12,687
0.999	58,100	70,786

Spread0.001Mid0.990

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.990	15	15
0.989	107	122
0.988	17	139
0.987	21	161
0.986	16	177
0.985	69	245
0.984	62	308
0.983	72	380
0.982	51	431
0.979	16	447
0.978	71	518
0.974	8	526

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
tsihkodiives	Yes	6,463.77
hanniphampani	Yes	3,241.66
cowcat	Yes	2,837.2
ita770mar	Yes	2,500
MossBerg21	Yes	2,435.93
resfeber	Yes	2,332.03
on-cinema	Yes	2,269.76
goodgmgn	Yes	1,948
thursdays	Yes	1,600.7
AciliMeyvaSuyu	Yes	1,600
knrad	Yes	1,478.21
TheDao	Yes	1,210.82
881112	Yes	1,157.29
rubbishjerjer	Yes	1,132.68
ImJustKen	Yes	1,111
Porx	Yes	982.44
Orion96	Yes	903.24
Hjklm	Yes	863.3
Bikesarethebest	Yes	817.92
Santale-Tambre	Yes	803.65

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
09:40:57	BUY	Yes	0.0095454545	110	$1.05
14:45:27	BUY	Yes	0.0090085837	117	$1.05
06:08:49	BUY	Yes	0.009	123	$1.11
13:05:46	BUY	Yes	0.008	50	$0.40
13:03:52	BUY	Yes	0.007	698	$4.89
10:36:01	BUY	Yes	0.007	434	$3.04
09:59:54	SELL	No	0.993	209	$207.76
12:55:40	SELL	No	0.993	31	$30.85
11:06:10	SELL	Yes	0.006	58	$0.35
10:28:57	BUY	Yes	0.007	234	$1.64
00:01:09	SELL	Yes	0.006	20	$0.12
00:00:16	SELL	Yes	0.006	10	$0.06
11:25:21	SELL	Yes	0.0065663179	194	$1.27
10:22:34	BUY	Yes	0.0118950276	91	$1.08
15:42:58	SELL	Yes	0.0055499867	113	$0.63
13:01:27	SELL	Yes	0.0101111111	113	$1.14
12:59:00	SELL	No	0.982	26	$25.53
12:58:09	SELL	Yes	0.0146253705	364	$5.33
12:49:04	SELL	No	0.982	31	$30.44
11:14:49	SELL	Yes	0.015	19	$0.28
08:55:25	SELL	Yes	0.016	34	$0.55
08:55:25	SELL	Yes	0.017	10	$0.17
05:42:10	SELL	No	0.973	21	$20.43
23:08:46	BUY	Yes	0.027	52	$1.40
13:33:49	SELL	No	0.973	22	$21.41