Hjklm
0xff4b1f20ab269d3f82287428537f8b533cbfd019
- Realised P&L
- $84.1k
- Volume
- $6.94M
- Markets traded
- 8,563
- Open portfolio
- $27.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded8,563
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.8kat 0.023Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
- +$13.8kat 0.018Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
- +$3.2kat 0.148Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.7kat 0.029Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
- +$2.0kat 0.020Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 00:26 | Will Cagliari be relegated from the 2026-27 Serie A? | BUY | 0.81 | $55.42 |
| 09-16 23:44 | W75 Le Neubourg: Anna Siskova vs Demi Tran | BUY | 0.047 | $1.03 |
| 09-16 22:18 | Will Raphinha score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.87 | $26.10 |
| 09-16 21:58 | Will Raphinha score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.86 | $17.20 |
| 09-16 21:55 | Exact Score: Baku Sporting 3 - 0 Sabail FK? | BUY | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 09-16 21:51 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.034 | $4.93 |
| 09-16 21:50 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.034 | $1.12 |
| 09-16 21:13 | Will Morgan Deneen win the 2026 Biltmore Championship Asheville? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 21:13 | Will Ze-Cheng Dou win the 2026 Biltmore Championship Asheville? | BUY | 0.99 | $0.50 |
| 09-16 21:11 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.112 | $7.28 |
| 09-16 21:08 | Exact Score: FK Atyrau 3 - 3 FC Ordabasy? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.98 |
| 09-16 21:04 | Will Erling Haaland score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.13 | $7.29 |
| 09-16 20:45 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.034 | $1.34 |
| 09-16 20:45 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.034 | $0.26 |
| 09-16 20:15 | Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.008 | $0.51 |