PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

resfeber

0x814de45404c20dd9956737a83f7c8b0b039eb842

Realised P&L
$-8.1k
Volume
$4.32M
Markets traded
1,581
Open portfolio
$60.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,581
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 03:39Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.095$7.18
08-03 03:27Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.095$11.82
08-03 03:10Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?BUY0.869$173.80
08-03 01:28Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?SELL0.56$7.84
08-03 01:11Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.096$17.61
08-03 00:18Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.706$10.59
08-03 00:17Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.711$3.55
08-03 00:11Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?SELL0.825$16.50
08-03 00:04Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?SELL0.19$2.66
08-03 00:00Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?BUY0.87$4.85
08-02 23:51Will Benjamin Ambrose be the MI-02 Democratic nominee?BUY0.88$176.00
08-02 23:29Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.748$22.61
08-02 23:06Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.53$3.49
08-02 22:59Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee?BUY0.78$15.60
08-02 22:29Will Brett Hueffmeier be the MO-05 Republican nominee?BUY0.011$0.05