PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

resfeber

0x814de45404c20dd9956737a83f7c8b0b039eb842

Realised P&L
$-10.2k
Volume
$5.08M
Markets traded
2,184
Open portfolio
$62.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,184
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration38.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:25Will the Republican Party win the MO-04 House seat?BUY0.031$0.19
11-01 22:25Will the Republican Party win the MO-04 House seat?BUY0.031$0.15
11-01 22:17Will the Democrats win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?BUY0.956$33.41
11-01 22:09Will the Democrats win the South Carolina governor race in 2026?SELL0.049$0.24
11-01 22:04Will the Democratic Party win the WA-10 House seat?SELL0.995$4.97
11-01 22:03Will the Republican Party win the NJ-08 House seat?SELL0.989$4.95
11-01 22:01Will the Democratic Party win the CA-47 House seat?SELL0.976$4.88
11-01 21:59Will the Republican Party win the NJ-08 House seat?SELL0.989$9.89
11-01 21:38Will the Republican Party win the NJ-08 House seat?SELL0.989$29.67
11-01 21:37Will the Republican Party win the NJ-08 House seat?SELL0.989$29.67
11-01 21:37Will the Republican Party win the NJ-08 House seat?SELL0.989$19.11
11-01 21:36Will the Republican Party win the NJ-08 House seat?SELL0.989$29.67
11-01 21:35Will the Republican Party win the NJ-08 House seat?SELL0.989$29.67
11-01 21:35Will the Republican Party win the NJ-08 House seat?SELL0.989$29.67
11-01 21:34Will the Republican Party win the NJ-08 House seat?SELL0.989$29.67