PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

resfeber

0x814de45404c20dd9956737a83f7c8b0b039eb842

Realised P&L
$-2.0k
Volume
$4.62M
Markets traded
1,840
Open portfolio
$60.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,840
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration49.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 04:34Will Alexander Volkov be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?SELL0.97$22.59
09-17 04:34Will Alexander Volkov be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.03$1.81
09-17 04:33Will Alexander Volkov be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?BUY0.029745028$3.50
09-17 04:32Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.89$95.35
09-17 04:27Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat?BUY0.22$4.45
09-17 04:26Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.7$19.60
09-17 04:16Will the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat?BUY0.09$6.52
09-17 03:42Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?BUY0.36$8.43
09-17 03:36Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?BUY0.18$0.90
09-17 03:28Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?BUY0.08$2.69
09-17 03:21Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.89$76.16
09-17 03:18Will the Democratic Party win the TX-34 House seat?BUY0.76$144.45
09-17 03:02Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot?BUY0.575$30.63
09-17 02:58Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.923$1.23
09-17 02:57Will the Republican Party win the TX-34 House seat?SELL0.23$5.52