resfeber
0x814de45404c20dd9956737a83f7c8b0b039eb842
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $4.62M
- Markets traded
- 1,840
- Open portfolio
- $60.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,840
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration49.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.7kat 0.515Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$9.1kat 0.401Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$7.3kat 0.398Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$6.3kat 0.395Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$6.2kat 0.344Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 04:34 | Will Alexander Volkov be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.97 | $22.59 |
| 09-17 04:34 | Will Alexander Volkov be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.03 | $1.81 |
| 09-17 04:33 | Will Alexander Volkov be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.029745028 | $3.50 |
| 09-17 04:32 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.89 | $95.35 |
| 09-17 04:27 | Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.22 | $4.45 |
| 09-17 04:26 | Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | BUY | 0.7 | $19.60 |
| 09-17 04:16 | Will the Democratic Party win the TN-09 House seat? | BUY | 0.09 | $6.52 |
| 09-17 03:42 | Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? | BUY | 0.36 | $8.43 |
| 09-17 03:36 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat? | BUY | 0.18 | $0.90 |
| 09-17 03:28 | Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.69 |
| 09-17 03:21 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.89 | $76.16 |
| 09-17 03:18 | Will the Democratic Party win the TX-34 House seat? | BUY | 0.76 | $144.45 |
| 09-17 03:02 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? | BUY | 0.575 | $30.63 |
| 09-17 02:58 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.923 | $1.23 |
| 09-17 02:57 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-34 House seat? | SELL | 0.23 | $5.52 |