resfeber
0x814de45404c20dd9956737a83f7c8b0b039eb842
- Realised P&L
- $-8.1k
- Volume
- $4.32M
- Markets traded
- 1,581
- Open portfolio
- $60.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,581
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.0kat 0.503Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$9.1kat 0.401Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$7.5kat 0.391Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$6.3kat 0.395Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
- +$6.2kat 0.344Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:39 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.095 | $7.18 |
| 08-03 03:27 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.095 | $11.82 |
| 08-03 03:10 | Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | BUY | 0.869 | $173.80 |
| 08-03 01:28 | Will Ciryl Gane be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $7.84 |
| 08-03 01:11 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.096 | $17.61 |
| 08-03 00:18 | Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.706 | $10.59 |
| 08-03 00:17 | Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.711 | $3.55 |
| 08-03 00:11 | Will Justin Gaethje be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.825 | $16.50 |
| 08-03 00:04 | Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01? | SELL | 0.19 | $2.66 |
| 08-03 00:00 | Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.85 |
| 08-02 23:51 | Will Benjamin Ambrose be the MI-02 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.88 | $176.00 |
| 08-02 23:29 | Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.748 | $22.61 |
| 08-02 23:06 | Will Tom Aspinall be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $3.49 |
| 08-02 22:59 | Will Hartzell Gray be the MO-04 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.78 | $15.60 |
| 08-02 22:29 | Will Brett Hueffmeier be the MO-05 Republican nominee? | BUY | 0.011 | $0.05 |