resfeber
0x814de45404c20dd9956737a83f7c8b0b039eb842
- Realised P&L
- $-10.2k
- Volume
- $5.08M
- Markets traded
- 2,184
- Open portfolio
- $62.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,184
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration38.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.7kat 0.515Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$9.1kat 0.401Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$7.3kat 0.398Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$7.3kat 0.369Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$6.3kat 0.395Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:25 | Will the Republican Party win the MO-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.031 | $0.19 |
| 11-01 22:25 | Will the Republican Party win the MO-04 House seat? | BUY | 0.031 | $0.15 |
| 11-01 22:17 | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.956 | $33.41 |
| 11-01 22:09 | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.049 | $0.24 |
| 11-01 22:04 | Will the Democratic Party win the WA-10 House seat? | SELL | 0.995 | $4.97 |
| 11-01 22:03 | Will the Republican Party win the NJ-08 House seat? | SELL | 0.989 | $4.95 |
| 11-01 22:01 | Will the Democratic Party win the CA-47 House seat? | SELL | 0.976 | $4.88 |
| 11-01 21:59 | Will the Republican Party win the NJ-08 House seat? | SELL | 0.989 | $9.89 |
| 11-01 21:38 | Will the Republican Party win the NJ-08 House seat? | SELL | 0.989 | $29.67 |
| 11-01 21:37 | Will the Republican Party win the NJ-08 House seat? | SELL | 0.989 | $29.67 |
| 11-01 21:37 | Will the Republican Party win the NJ-08 House seat? | SELL | 0.989 | $19.11 |
| 11-01 21:36 | Will the Republican Party win the NJ-08 House seat? | SELL | 0.989 | $29.67 |
| 11-01 21:35 | Will the Republican Party win the NJ-08 House seat? | SELL | 0.989 | $29.67 |
| 11-01 21:35 | Will the Republican Party win the NJ-08 House seat? | SELL | 0.989 | $29.67 |
| 11-01 21:34 | Will the Republican Party win the NJ-08 House seat? | SELL | 0.989 | $29.67 |