ita770mar
0x17ad09f0bb3244de75eecc7b90f410f0cc89b913
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $137.7k
- Markets traded
- 177
- Open portfolio
- $82.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded177
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.033 | $82.50 | −$17.50 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 600,000 and 900,000 voters? · Yes | 0.597 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$272.35at 0.847Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
- +$215.54at 0.678Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
- +$186.03at 0.617Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
- +$171.08at 0.530Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET
- +$161.28at 0.908Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 06:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $180.52 |
| 07-19 06:27 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $106.30 |
| 06-14 22:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? | BUY | 0.6799999935 | $100.00 |
| 06-14 22:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8087468447 | $200.00 |
| 06-14 22:00 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? | SELL | 0.83 | $738.99 |
| 06-14 18:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? | BUY | 0.9099999988 | $500.00 |
| 06-14 08:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.830236802 | $560.97 |
| 06-14 08:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? | BUY | 0.8799999991 | $300.00 |
| 06-14 08:00 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June? | SELL | 0.7069461736 | $340.69 |
| 06-14 06:42 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8277650336 | $100.00 |
| 06-14 06:32 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June? | BUY | 0.8299999997 | $400.00 |
| 06-14 06:30 | Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $100.00 |
| 06-08 08:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.72 | $96.00 |
| 06-08 08:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $494.18 |
| 06-07 04:12 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $100.00 |