goodgmgn
0x7cfd5ec8c3b264d3fcf55783f6cdb279b9dbb94f
- Realised P&L
- $454.56
- Volume
- $50.9k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $18.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.009 | $18.51 | −$53.57 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.71 |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? · No | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$979.02 |
| Will Brazil reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$525.83at 0.820Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
- +$507.29at 0.826Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$344.75at 0.389Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?
- +$296.27at 0.164Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$288.34at 0.670Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 04:35 | Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.037 | $72.08 |
| 07-24 10:58 | Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.973 | $784.87 |
| 07-17 20:26 | Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.965 | $1.6k |
| 07-17 16:33 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.833 | $14.99 |
| 07-17 16:31 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.8319047619 | $436.75 |
| 07-17 16:31 | Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.8193784119 | $660.42 |
| 06-24 05:07 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.922 | $419.78 |
| 06-24 01:25 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.924 | $539.52 |
| 06-24 00:28 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | SELL | 0.997 | $513.46 |
| 06-24 00:20 | Exact Score: Paraguay 1 - 1 Australia? | BUY | 0.83 | $536.36 |
| 06-24 00:17 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.919 | $2.3k |
| 06-16 05:18 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.16 | $56.70 |
| 06-14 05:50 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | SELL | 0.9943895333 | $298.32 |
| 05-30 17:05 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.901 | $180.20 |
| 05-30 10:40 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.981 | $1.8k |