Porx
0xa0bca9bdd8540da95060ed1fafb78aa03835d428
- Realised P&L
- $105.8k
- Volume
- $9.33M
- Markets traded
- 2,758
- Open portfolio
- $32.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded2,758
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.6kat 0.028Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
- +$4.1kat 0.175JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 10?
- +$4.0kat 0.362Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by November 30?
- +$3.2kat 0.631Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
- +$2.9kat 0.142Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 09:43 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? | SELL | 0.0924774914 | $38.93 |
| 11-01 09:42 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | BUY | 0.5 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 09:41 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.83 | $73.86 |
| 11-01 09:39 | Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.8968787745 | $142.27 |
| 11-01 09:37 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.983 | $1.8k |
| 11-01 09:36 | Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $9.09 |
| 11-01 09:28 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $28.00 |
| 11-01 09:25 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.1491342311 | $567.57 |
| 10-30 22:25 | Will a European country take military action on Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.9162663977 | $174.90 |
| 10-30 22:13 | Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $9.54 |
| 10-30 22:00 | Will Iran target Syria by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9704962594 | $38.92 |
| 10-30 04:04 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | SELL | 0.74 | $21.51 |
| 10-30 02:02 | Houthi x Saudi Arabia effective ceasefire by October 31? | SELL | 0.073 | $39.70 |
| 10-30 02:01 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? | BUY | 0.68 | $19.77 |
| 10-30 01:58 | Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $70.93 |