PolyBot

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Will Perplexity's valuation hit (HIGH) $22.5B by December 31?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.41. down 0.01 over the period, from 0.42. Range 0.35 to 0.53. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.475555
0.48560
0.50100160
0.6930190
0.7260250
0.7420270
0.9712282
0.9820302
0.9925327

Spread0.11Mid0.41

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.36107107
0.3340147
0.2210157
0.1710167
0.1410177
0.1110187
0.067194
0.0512206
0.01760967

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.64107107
0.6740147
0.7810157
0.8310167
0.8610177
0.8910187
0.947194
0.9512206
0.99760967

Spread0.11Mid0.58

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.535555
0.52560
0.50100160
0.3130190
0.2860250
0.2620270
0.0312282
0.0220302
0.0125327

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
SmartBoyBillyYes400
richarddYes119.69
Started-with-20-USDYes99.99
0xc327CcdEAbf1BdBd98722C4C2A360F2C3FDC31f5-1742139313586Yes80
0x81e7a2ab8E6268009643Da1CAb2368adb0457389-1774921607278Yes59.83
LornaPredictsYes47.11
bananabreakfastYes40
pootytherewardfarmerYes24.2
jensondYes15
Dr.mettYes9.76
0x58e80Dd4a5c365BA380795103f5E0963a287bB5A-1781767424338Yes5
sch2026Yes3.31
dsoisoijYes1.16
End123No510.97
memorymaker2049No118.39
pppnnNo60
viniiNo51.35
pd.uniqueNo50
DancewithRiskNo49.99
FihdrzgddNo25

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
17:19:37BUYYes0.3710$3.70
22:37:39BUYYes0.3337887580$26.70
19:42:04SELLYes0.3440$13.60
13:30:37SELLYes0.3440$13.60
06:04:34BUYYes0.33150$49.50
03:14:04SELLYes0.27102$27.46
21:05:43SELLYes0.325$1.60
21:00:51SELLYes0.286666666790$25.80
10:47:48SELLYes0.5115$7.77
23:43:24BUYYes0.740$28.00
07:40:36BUYYes0.59197$116.05
03:07:34BUYYes0.3825$9.50
13:54:48SELLNo0.7625$19.00
19:47:07BUYYes0.2125$5.25
21:51:48BUYNo0.65340$220.89
17:07:15BUYNo0.74171$126.17
21:50:05SELLYes0.371$0.38
21:49:44SELLYes0.3888631412101$39.27
19:09:39BUYNo0.6515$10.00
20:17:03SELLYes0.4250$21.00
15:15:43SELLNo0.560$0.01
11:46:12BUYNo0.5720$11.40
01:51:51SELLNo0.5650$27.99
09:09:40BUYYes0.4450$22.00
06:58:22SELLNo0.5720$11.40