PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

spaceloaf

0xa99cd888fda757bcddb877a4904bd164d46608b4

Realised P&L
$649.68
Volume
$110.3k
Markets traded
662
Open portfolio
$5.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded662
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration55.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Andrey Gyurov win the most votes in the second round of the Bulgaria presidential election from abroad? · Yes0.9510.995$324.37+$14.22
Will Bryan Fockler win the next Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? · No0.9900.995$258.04+$1.17
Will Chou Chun-mi win the next Pingtung County Magistrate election? · Yes0.7150.835$183.12+$26.32
Will the Republican Party win the MI-01 House seat? · Yes0.8530.875$131.24+$3.25
Will Chung Tung-chin win the next Miaoli County Magistrate election? · Yes0.8440.864$129.53+$2.98
Will the Democratic Party win the NM-02 House seat? · Yes0.9210.921$127.17+$0.07
Will Chang Chia-chun win the next Yunlin County Magistrate election? · Yes0.8020.840$126.84+$5.65
Will Wang Chung-ming win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election? · Yes0.7660.735$117.72−$4.92
Will the Democratic Party win the WV-02 House seat? · No0.9840.981$109.87−$0.34
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire gubernatorial election by 18% or more? · No0.9240.947$105.21+$2.55
Will Steve Hilton win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026? · Yes0.7340.555$99.90−$32.30
Will Andrew Rose win the next Burnaby South-Metrotown British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? · No0.9900.991$99.05+$0.05
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-04 House seat? · Yes0.9920.983$98.25−$0.95
Will Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor win the third most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Yes0.9620.980$98.00+$1.83
Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2026? · No0.9630.958$95.75−$0.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 08:17Will Kira Freije win the Turner Prize 2026?BUY0.29$2.90
11-02 08:17Will Marguerite Humeau win the Turner Prize 2026?BUY0.246$2.46
11-02 08:17Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026?BUY0.25$2.50
11-02 08:17Will Simeon Barclay win the Turner Prize 2026?BUY0.19$1.90
11-02 08:08Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by December 31?BUY0.21$2.10
11-02 08:00Will John R. "Buster" Brown win the 2026 Collin County Judge election?SELL0.16$0.80
11-02 08:00Will Chris Hill win the 2026 Collin County Judge election?BUY0.83$4.15
11-02 07:49Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?BUY0.27$12.12
11-02 07:47Will Marguerite Humeau win the Turner Prize 2026?BUY0.257$7.71
11-02 07:47Will Kira Freije win the Turner Prize 2026?BUY0.29$8.70
11-02 07:47Will Simeon Barclay win the Turner Prize 2026?BUY0.18$5.40
11-02 07:46Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026?BUY0.25$7.50
11-02 07:40Will Steve Hilton win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026?BUY0.738$73.80
11-02 07:40Will Xavier Becerra win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026?BUY0.23$23.00
11-02 00:39Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027?BUY0.972$9.71