spaceloaf
0xa99cd888fda757bcddb877a4904bd164d46608b4
- Realised P&L
- $649.68
- Volume
- $110.3k
- Markets traded
- 662
- Open portfolio
- $5.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded662
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.796Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$333.87at 0.972Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?
- +$140.40at 0.937Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 12-15%?
- +$135.75at 0.988Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?
- +$120.86at 0.215Will Jeff Fawcett win the 2026 Brandon mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 08:17 | Will Kira Freije win the Turner Prize 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 11-02 08:17 | Will Marguerite Humeau win the Turner Prize 2026? | BUY | 0.246 | $2.46 |
| 11-02 08:17 | Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 11-02 08:17 | Will Simeon Barclay win the Turner Prize 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 11-02 08:08 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by December 31? | BUY | 0.21 | $2.10 |
| 11-02 08:00 | Will John R. "Buster" Brown win the 2026 Collin County Judge election? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.80 |
| 11-02 08:00 | Will Chris Hill win the 2026 Collin County Judge election? | BUY | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 11-02 07:49 | Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | BUY | 0.27 | $12.12 |
| 11-02 07:47 | Will Marguerite Humeau win the Turner Prize 2026? | BUY | 0.257 | $7.71 |
| 11-02 07:47 | Will Kira Freije win the Turner Prize 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $8.70 |
| 11-02 07:47 | Will Simeon Barclay win the Turner Prize 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $5.40 |
| 11-02 07:46 | Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $7.50 |
| 11-02 07:40 | Will Steve Hilton win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.738 | $73.80 |
| 11-02 07:40 | Will Xavier Becerra win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $23.00 |
| 11-02 00:39 | Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? | BUY | 0.972 | $9.71 |