End123
0x8df73e2962d0184ea1f71621784d46ca6b5936c4
- Realised P&L
- $-35.8k
- Volume
- $4.21M
- Markets traded
- 759
- Open portfolio
- $260.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded759
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.6kat 0.936Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
- +$5.8kat 0.870Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
- +$5.6kat 0.580Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets
- +$4.0kat 0.810LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
- +$3.3kat 0.883Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:44 | Will Jordan Addison have 274.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.8835696073 | $103.96 |
| 10-31 16:25 | Spread: Oregon State (-6.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $250.12 |
| 10-31 16:23 | UConn vs. Air Force | BUY | 0.52 | $250.12 |
| 10-31 15:56 | Wisconsin vs. Iowa | BUY | 0.56 | $375.20 |
| 10-31 15:54 | SMU vs. Syracuse: O/U 57.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $250.02 |
| 10-30 21:40 | LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.01 | $55.55 |
| 10-29 22:45 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.93 | $32.55 |
| 10-29 21:41 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.45 | $2.25 |
| 10-26 22:08 | LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.78 | $1.7k |
| 10-25 21:38 | Will Zay Flowers have 574.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.9886299592 | $53.33 |
| 10-25 20:19 | LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.88 | $2.9k |
| 10-25 11:19 | Will Jordan Addison have 274.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.87 | $104.40 |
| 10-25 11:18 | Will Jordan Addison have 474.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.5999700449 | $12.02 |
| 10-24 20:55 | Will Christian Watson have 399.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.999 | $999.00 |
| 10-24 19:40 | LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage | SELL | 0.94 | $1.6k |