PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x81e7a2ab8E6268009643Da1CAb2368adb0457389-1774921607278

0x81e7a2ab8e6268009643da1cab2368adb0457389

Realised P&L
$805.69
Volume
$48.4k
Markets traded
386
Open portfolio
$647.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded386
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-30 15:24Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.75$41.90
06-30 14:53Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?SELL0.99$41.60
06-30 02:33Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.75$45.00
06-27 16:21Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.75$279.45
06-26 02:46Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?SELL0.92$44.62
06-26 02:12Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?SELL0.36$4.55
06-26 02:04Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.59$29.50
06-26 02:04Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?SELL0.49$24.50
06-26 01:16OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?SELL0.72$16.39
06-26 00:45Anthropic IPO before 2027?SELL0.24$82.42
06-23 15:12Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.73$200.75
06-19 21:19OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?SELL0.60669$24.27
06-19 20:16Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6739007861$49.72
06-19 20:16Will OpenAI have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?SELL0.9806096$49.03
06-19 20:12Anthropic IPO before 2027?BUY0.2397368073$90.63