PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.21. Unchanged over the period, from 0.21. Range 0.21 to 0.21. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.224,5014,501
0.233,9768,477
0.244528,928
0.27678,996
0.282009,196
0.292009,396
0.41159,411
0.68209,431
0.745009,931
0.8065010,581
0.84610,587
0.91610,593

Spread0.01Mid0.21

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.213,9353,935
0.204,7368,671
0.192,42511,096
0.187011,166
0.041711,184
0.0372111,905
0.024,21116,115
0.011016,125

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.793,9353,935
0.804,7368,671
0.812,42511,096
0.827011,166
0.961711,184
0.9772111,905
0.984,21116,115
0.991016,125

Spread0.01Mid0.79

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.784,5014,501
0.773,9768,477
0.764528,928
0.73678,996
0.722009,196
0.712009,396
0.59159,411
0.32209,431
0.265009,931
0.2065010,581
0.16610,587
0.09610,593

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
mumpsYes781.25
0x62D5D72dc3E168E49e5c9377c0EF4f1A6AF9Bc0c-1778287944251Yes132.22
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Yes104
OklmntraderYes67.16
AJSVYes42.99
HerrieDavisYes40
SlackjawYes21.1
POB-TYes20
Dr.PNLYes19.99
Matias89cYes19.64
monoclithYes14.56
bechamelYes14.4
fred886Yes13.64
0x3c60…c0d7Yes5
lambot5100Yes5
0x977C5E43cFA289036d341aC1e8458843657FA86f-1784827707708Yes4.55
billygodYes1
ArmageddonRewardsBillyNo943.26
XypherzNo100
SmartBoyBillyNo93

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
00:55:11BUYYes0.22100$22.00
20:16:56BUYNo0.78999999265$4.29
15:29:03SELLYes0.2120$4.20
16:03:47BUYNo0.797$5.36
13:24:16BUYYes0.2220$4.40
10:18:50SELLNo0.7865$50.65
10:17:20BUYNo0.78999994552$1.74
07:09:09BUYYes0.219999953114$3.00
15:24:28BUYYes0.21999985485$1.00
01:49:31SELLYes0.217$1.47
01:46:40SELLYes0.217$1.47
01:15:52SELLYes0.2144$9.24
09:42:48SELLNo0.780$0.12
09:18:54SELLNo0.7860$46.80
00:04:43SELLYes0.2122$4.62
00:02:45SELLYes0.2236$8.01
00:02:42SELLYes0.2223$5.06
00:02:06SELLYes0.2320$4.60
00:02:03SELLYes0.2365$14.93
00:01:22BUYNo0.769999996965$50.00
19:58:28BUYYes0.2421$5.04
17:40:57SELLYes0.2423$5.52
17:40:55SELLYes0.2423$5.52
17:40:45SELLYes0.243$0.72
17:40:39SELLYes0.2420$4.80