PolyBot

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Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-01
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.07. Unchanged over the period, from 0.07. Range 0.07 to 0.07. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.074,9054,905
0.085,55610,462
0.0912,19322,655
0.106,94729,602
0.137029,672
0.18929,680
0.191029,690
0.202029,710
0.7450030,210
0.8065030,860
0.84630,866
0.91630,872

Spread0.01Mid0.07

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.068,4658,465
0.055,73814,204
0.0415,86530,069
0.036,65936,728
0.022936,757
0.0142737,184

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.948,4658,465
0.955,73814,204
0.9615,86530,069
0.976,65936,728
0.982936,757
0.9942737,184

Spread0.01Mid0.94

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.934,9054,905
0.925,55610,462
0.9112,19322,655
0.906,94729,602
0.877029,672
0.82929,680
0.811029,690
0.802029,710
0.2650030,210
0.2065030,860
0.16630,866
0.09630,872

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
HerrieDavisYes2,464.9
AiBirdYes1,710.47
Digital-BoyYes880
FollowedByParasitesYes816.98
0x62D5D72dc3E168E49e5c9377c0EF4f1A6AF9Bc0c-1778287944251Yes788.82
mumpsYes781.25
lissartterYes300
hollow7Yes208.77
ASFYQ78Yes200
HaradwaithYes180
0x45E7f98a1f64c1e5Eea2fBYes163.39
GeromiYes153.58
FFFFFFFF9Yes150
718305Yes142.86
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Yes104
thecaricatureYes100
WanderingImpulseYes62.5
OklmntraderYes50
tinman2Yes50
POB-TYes40

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
23:47:24BUYYes0.075$0.35
15:28:04BUYYes0.075$0.35
04:27:31SELLNo0.93100$93.00
17:49:03BUYNo0.94213$200.00
21:57:04BUYYes0.0699999999143$10.00
19:07:33SELLYes0.0620$1.20
06:26:13SELLNo0.9377$71.71
06:11:39SELLNo0.9377$71.70
02:59:18BUYYes0.073$0.18
19:45:54BUYYes0.0720$1.40
08:05:58SELLYes0.0620$1.20
08:02:58BUYYes0.0720$1.40
17:29:00SELLYes0.07219$15.31
16:53:42BUYNo0.93766$712.38
16:53:30BUYNo0.93787$731.91
16:52:37BUYNo0.93568$528.24
07:38:03BUYNo0.92999999921$19.40
07:15:37SELLNo0.921$1.03
06:10:09BUYNo0.9299999978172$160.00
06:08:54BUYNo0.92999994698$7.00
01:52:48SELLNo0.9258$53.34
11:37:36SELLNo0.926$5.81
11:58:07BUYYes0.0863$5.00
15:13:07SELLYes0.07333$23.31
14:22:42SELLNo0.9211$10.12