0x45E7f98a1f64c1e5Eea2fB
0x45e7f98a1f64c1e5eea2fb5e287788f1cc67d77c
- Realised P&L
- $-4.4k
- Volume
- $396.5k
- Markets traded
- 7,921
- Open portfolio
- $663.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,921
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$546.00at 0.045Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- +$434.51at 0.004WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 20?
- +$342.51at 0.011Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?
- +$276.85at 0.104Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year?
- +$253.64at 0.140Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 20:39 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? | SELL | 0.353 | $493.55 |
| 10-15 08:24 | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? | SELL | 0.07 | $63.16 |
| 10-13 18:02 | Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? | SELL | 0.058 | $46.55 |
| 10-09 11:33 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 10-08 20:45 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 10-08 20:35 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.4599999687 | $2.35 |
| 10-08 20:33 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 10-08 20:28 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 10-08 20:14 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 10-08 19:55 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.3904761905 | $2.05 |
| 10-08 19:51 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 10-08 19:50 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |
| 10-08 19:39 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 10-08 19:19 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 10-08 19:19 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |