PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x45E7f98a1f64c1e5Eea2fB

0x45e7f98a1f64c1e5eea2fb5e287788f1cc67d77c

Realised P&L
$-4.4k
Volume
$396.5k
Markets traded
7,921
Open portfolio
$663.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,921
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2027? · No0.8050.765$587.53−$30.72
Will the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? · No0.8270.881$76.07+$4.66
Will Gerrit Cole win the 2026 AL Comeback Player of the Year award? · Yes0.1100.003$0.06−$2.03
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 29? · No0.4500.000$0.00−$3.15
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 14? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$1.83
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 10? · No0.8300.000$0.00−$16.60
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 28? · No0.3900.000$0.00−$4.99
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on August 29? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00−$12.00
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 14? · No0.5900.000$0.00−$59.59
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on September 28? · No0.7580.000$0.00−$68.20
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on September 11? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$3.71
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 13? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00−$7.98
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on September 17? · No0.7800.000$0.00−$12.78
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 23? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00−$2.30
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 11? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$2.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 20:39Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?SELL0.353$493.55
10-15 08:24Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?SELL0.07$63.16
10-13 18:02Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?SELL0.058$46.55
10-09 11:33Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 10?BUY0.41$2.05
10-08 20:45Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on October 10?BUY0.72$3.60
10-08 20:35Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on October 8?BUY0.4599999687$2.35
10-08 20:33Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 8?BUY0.82$4.10
10-08 20:28Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on October 10?BUY0.74$3.70
10-08 20:14Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 9?BUY0.85$4.25
10-08 19:55Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 8?BUY0.3904761905$2.05
10-08 19:51Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on October 9?BUY0.7$3.50
10-08 19:50Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on October 9?BUY0.38$1.90
10-08 19:39Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 9?BUY0.77$3.85
10-08 19:19Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on October 9?BUY0.72$3.60
10-08 19:19Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 9?BUY0.76$3.80