PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hollow7

0x3f1d9fe7f5e76f186d27d5708ad7f7a1460356a3

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$131.8k
Markets traded
1,541
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,541
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 11? · Yes0.6640.660$65.38−$0.40
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 11? · No0.5500.470$56.40−$9.60
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on October 11? · No0.8110.800$40.79−$0.55
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on October 11? · No0.8300.820$32.80−$0.40
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 11? · No0.5120.455$32.76−$4.08
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on October 12? · No0.7650.820$32.64+$2.20
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on October 12? · No0.5130.490$31.46−$1.46
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 11? · No0.7600.695$27.80−$2.60
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on October 11? · No0.8200.790$26.83−$1.02
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on October 11? · No0.7400.830$26.18+$2.84
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on October 12? · No0.6650.650$25.99−$0.60
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 11? · No0.6650.635$25.40−$1.20
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 11? · No0.6850.605$24.20−$3.20
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 11? · No0.6650.755$23.70+$2.81
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on October 12? · No0.5500.580$23.20+$1.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 01:24Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 6?SELL0.999$39.96
10-07 00:19Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on October 6?SELL0.999$14.23
10-06 23:09Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 6?SELL0.999$29.97
10-06 23:09Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 6?SELL0.999$56.09
10-06 22:16Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 6?SELL0.999$1.43
10-06 21:10Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 6?SELL0.999$19.98
10-06 21:00Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 6?SELL0.999$6.83
10-06 17:56Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 6?SELL0.999$7.64
10-06 17:38Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 6?SELL0.999$38.59
10-06 16:19Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 6?SELL0.999$27.81
10-06 16:14Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on October 6?SELL0.999$24.26
10-06 14:19Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 6?SELL0.999$4.83
10-06 13:06Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 6?SELL0.999$3.63
10-06 12:30Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on October 6?SELL0.999$19.98
10-06 09:08Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 6?SELL0.999$15.46