hollow7
0x3f1d9fe7f5e76f186d27d5708ad7f7a1460356a3
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $131.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,541
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,541
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$90.67at 0.070Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?
- +$65.45at 0.476Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 3?
- +$64.34at 0.409Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 27?
- +$63.95at 0.411Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 28?
- +$60.06at 0.469Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on October 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 01:24 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on October 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $39.96 |
| 10-07 00:19 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on October 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $14.23 |
| 10-06 23:09 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $29.97 |
| 10-06 23:09 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on October 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $56.09 |
| 10-06 22:16 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.43 |
| 10-06 21:10 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 10-06 21:00 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on October 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.83 |
| 10-06 17:56 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on October 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.64 |
| 10-06 17:38 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $38.59 |
| 10-06 16:19 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $27.81 |
| 10-06 16:14 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $24.26 |
| 10-06 14:19 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.83 |
| 10-06 13:06 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.63 |
| 10-06 12:30 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 10-06 09:08 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 6? | SELL | 0.999 | $15.46 |