PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
200 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.20. up 0.05 over the period, from 0.15. Range 0.12 to 0.32. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.212020
0.23521541
0.241,0001,541
0.253,0004,541
0.26104,551
0.29104,561
0.30114,573
0.315355,108
0.33145,121
0.42405,161
0.71205,181
0.7255,186

Spread0.01Mid0.21

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.201,7501,750
0.191,7883,538
0.1753,543
0.16543,597
0.152643,861
0.142,5996,459
0.131156,574
0.12246,598
0.113356,933
0.102,5359,469
0.09209,489
0.08649,553

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.801,7501,750
0.811,7883,538
0.8353,543
0.84543,597
0.852643,861
0.862,5996,459
0.871156,574
0.88246,598
0.893356,933
0.902,5359,469
0.91209,489
0.92649,553

Spread0.01Mid0.80

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.792020
0.77521541
0.761,0001,541
0.753,0004,541
0.74104,551
0.71104,561
0.70114,573
0.695355,108
0.67145,121
0.58405,161
0.29205,181
0.2855,186

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
BrovadanaYes2,557.85
0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876Yes2,500
CarYes1,000
erlichbachmnYes901.54
anon202Yes566.47
IbnKhaldunYes313.97
gummy-usbYes303.05
wizarditoYes278.61
cmarxYes252.61
tradetosurvive1Yes200
MeowmeowmeowYes180.78
azotYes174.77
Skip-instructs-send-all-funds-to-this-accYes151.06
LornaPredictsYes146.62
ek8Yes141.05
0x5f5f7e92EaC55Aca2dB6Ace0d112bC4D40B99E9B-1760227412359Yes140.63
0xfa39…977fYes125
kaioshinYes125
RiriLoulouYes102.13
acuellarFYes100

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
08:35:04SELLNo0.78178$138.89
16:45:18BUYNo0.815$4.05
11:22:22SELLYes0.1925$4.78
00:38:01SELLNo0.7910$7.90
15:32:57BUYYes0.246$1.38
09:36:55BUYNo0.825$20.00
09:04:52BUYYes0.2235$7.68
08:30:48BUYNo0.8135$28.35
06:06:07BUYNo0.785$3.90
03:56:46SELLNo0.770$0.24
03:04:42BUYYes0.2117$3.57
02:29:52SELLNo0.76183$139.08
23:23:25SELLYes0.260701992753$196.31
23:19:21SELLYes0.2710$2.70
19:54:37BUYYes0.335$1.67
19:54:37BUYNo0.6620$13.15
19:06:18SELLYes0.2410$2.40
18:52:09BUYYes0.368$2.88
18:36:18BUYYes0.17753$128.01
18:36:18BUYYes0.18210$37.80
18:32:43SELLNo0.8422$18.43
18:32:37SELLNo0.84183$154.04
18:32:37BUYYes0.1652$8.27
18:32:28SELLNo0.84200$168.00
18:32:25BUYYes0.168$1.32