Lemon2026
0x6e0a4b03b48324506c868fe45f1d2e3d3ea8db34
- Realised P&L
- $-39.62
- Volume
- $118.3k
- Markets traded
- 65
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded65
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.507Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$1.1kat 0.417Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
- +$522.48at 0.164Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?
- +$460.99at 0.686Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?
- +$451.92at 0.144Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 11:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $5.00 |
| 10-20 11:10 | Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $49.50 |
| 09-21 19:07 | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $3.30 |
| 09-21 19:06 | Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.006 | $24.28 |
| 09-21 19:05 | Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.026 | $5.69 |
| 09-21 19:05 | Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.028 | $16.96 |
| 09-16 16:05 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $1.3k |
| 09-16 16:04 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.12 | $60.00 |
| 09-16 16:03 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.008 | $40.00 |
| 09-16 16:03 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $20.00 |
| 09-16 15:59 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.12 | $120.00 |
| 08-11 03:57 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup Playoffs | BUY | 0.2099999984 | $100.00 |
| 08-09 03:40 | LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group | BUY | 0.4 | $100.00 |
| 08-09 03:39 | LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana | BUY | 0.1399999976 | $50.00 |
| 08-08 19:48 | LoL: Cloud9 vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular Season | BUY | 0.109999999 | $100.00 |