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Traders

Lemon2026

0x6e0a4b03b48324506c868fe45f1d2e3d3ea8db34

Realised P&L
$-39.62
Volume
$118.3k
Markets traded
65
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded65
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · No0.9000.885$885.00−$15.00
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3300.225$112.50−$52.50
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0060.001$5.00−$54.92
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw? · Yes0.0870.000$0.00−$349.30
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$100.00
Argentina vs. Austria: Argentina O/U 2.5 · Over0.3180.000$0.00−$100.00
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5 · Over0.1050.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.6900.000$0.00−$500.00
Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw? · Yes0.3700.000$0.00−$300.00
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-18? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$30.00
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5 · Over0.0170.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Norway win on 2026-06-26? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$100.00
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 · Over0.0060.000$0.00−$25.00
Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$30.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 11:11Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ETBUY0.75$5.00
10-20 11:10Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?BUY0.9$49.50
09-21 19:07Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?BUY0.33$3.30
09-21 19:06Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.006$24.28
09-21 19:05Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.026$5.69
09-21 19:05Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.028$16.96
09-16 16:05Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.88$1.3k
09-16 16:04Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.12$60.00
09-16 16:03Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.008$40.00
09-16 16:03Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.002$20.00
09-16 15:59Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.12$120.00
08-11 03:57LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup PlayoffsBUY0.2099999984$100.00
08-09 03:40LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupBUY0.4$100.00
08-09 03:39LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaBUY0.1399999976$50.00
08-08 19:48LoL: Cloud9 vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Regular SeasonBUY0.109999999$100.00
Trader Lemon2026 · PolyBot Pro