PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

erlichbachmn

0x999f61d400da1804af3c250b3236a60101c3addb

Realised P&L
$-11.5k
Volume
$163.2k
Markets traded
137
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded137
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? · Yes0.8350.564$564.63$272.04
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026? · Yes0.4200.395$394.99$25.00
Will UNI reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4000.920$211.60+$119.60
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4190.205$184.82$192.95
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2860.553$132.29+$63.93
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? · Yes0.7460.125$113.38$562.94
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026? · No0.9680.953$74.26$1.21
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2430.160$68.00$35.27
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? · Yes0.6440.095$64.24$371.65
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9400.639$62.67$29.45
Bitmine sells any Ethereum in 2026? · Yes0.3930.260$29.80$15.20
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 · Yes0.3800.090$28.08$90.48
Will ground beef hit $10 per pound in 2026? · Yes0.4910.045$18.32$181.68
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? · Yes0.8320.050$11.73$185.43
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? · Yes0.7900.155$2.57$10.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 21:11Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?BUY0.9314303748$2.8k
07-19 21:07Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?BUY0.83$76.36
07-19 19:56Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.109999999$100.00
07-19 19:38Spain leading at halftime?BUY0.1899999997$500.00
07-19 19:12Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfBUY0.1998001998$100.00
07-19 19:05Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5BUY0.6799999999$1000.00
07-19 19:01Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5BUY0.1029439547$371.00
07-19 14:29Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfBUY0.1799999987$100.00
07-19 14:06Argentina leading at halftime?BUY0.2199999985$100.00
07-19 00:37PortlandFire vs. Minnesota LynxBUY0.0899999976$32.00
07-19 00:27New York Liberty vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 183.5BUY0.3$6.43
07-19 00:23Utah Royals FC vs. Orlando Pride: Orlando Pride 1st Half O/U 1.5BUY0.1099999889$8.00
07-19 00:03Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5BUY0.1499999984$70.00
07-18 23:54Enzo Fernández: 2+ goalsBUY0.016$11.00
07-18 23:54Lionel Messi: 3+ goalsBUY0.025$10.00