0x5f5f7e92EaC55Aca2dB6Ace0d112bC4D40B99E9B-1760227412359
0x5f5f7e92eac55aca2db6ace0d112bc4d40b99e9b
- Realised P&L
- $158.80
- Volume
- $8.9k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $113.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
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- +$46.43at 0.350Government shutdown on Saturday?
- +$45.77at 0.160Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$27.91at 0.589Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 03:42 | Orix Buffaloes vs. Nippon Ham Fighters | BUY | 0.4299999951 | $15.00 |
| 07-16 02:31 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.579 | $65.14 |
| 03-26 20:55 | Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 NL Central title | BUY | 0.3123074466 | $17.08 |
| 03-26 20:53 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.15 | $16.58 |
| 03-14 23:42 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.0589999863 | $4.00 |
| 03-04 06:44 | Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | BUY | 0.1935034444 | $15.00 |
| 03-04 06:43 | Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | SELL | 0.05 | $3.57 |
| 03-04 06:43 | Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | SELL | 0.2117297369 | $15.86 |
| 02-27 02:58 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY | 0.4399999952 | $18.51 |
| 02-27 02:47 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.189999988 | $10.00 |
| 02-27 02:43 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1899999888 | $11.00 |
| 02-27 02:11 | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.359999977 | $5.00 |
| 02-27 02:11 | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999904 | $15.00 |
| 02-27 02:10 | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3526334816 | $30.00 |
| 02-27 02:05 | Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? | BUY | 0.1022053551 | $20.00 |