PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5f5f7e92EaC55Aca2dB6Ace0d112bC4D40B99E9B-1760227412359

0x5f5f7e92eac55aca2db6ace0d112bc4d40b99e9b

Realised P&L
$158.80
Volume
$8.9k
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$113.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 NL Central title · Yes0.3121.000$54.69+$37.61
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.2400.305$30.40+$6.48
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3550.205$28.83$21.17
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$8.00
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 16? · Up0.3600.000$0.00$5.00
Will Austria win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$1.00
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$20.00
Will Benson Boone perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$5.00
Will J Balvin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$10.00
Will Donald Trump attend Super Bowl LX? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$2.00
Orix Buffaloes vs. Nippon Ham Fighters · Orix Buffaloes0.4300.000$0.00$15.00
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00$40.00
Will Canada win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$1.00
Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? · Yes0.1020.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-19 03:42Orix Buffaloes vs. Nippon Ham FightersBUY0.4299999951$15.00
07-16 02:31Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.579$65.14
03-26 20:55Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 NL Central titleBUY0.3123074466$17.08
03-26 20:53Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.15$16.58
03-14 23:42Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY0.0589999863$4.00
03-04 06:44Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?BUY0.1935034444$15.00
03-04 06:43Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.05$3.57
03-04 06:43Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL0.2117297369$15.86
02-27 02:58Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?BUY0.4399999952$18.51
02-27 02:47Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.189999988$10.00
02-27 02:43Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.1899999888$11.00
02-27 02:11Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?BUY0.359999977$5.00
02-27 02:11Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3599999904$15.00
02-27 02:10Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3526334816$30.00
02-27 02:05Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY0.1022053551$20.00