PolyBot

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Traders

kaioshin

0xff99bac9cfa7e74d961a48347b77fc24d4bbcf54

Realised P&L
$-144.33
Volume
$11.4k
Markets traded
51
Open portfolio
$28.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded51
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8000.225$28.13−$71.88
Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.7600.180$0.47−$1.53
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET · Up0.1760.000$0.00−$30.00
Lighter Airdrop on December 29? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00−$76.58
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET · Down0.0800.000$0.00−$25.00
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2025? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00−$5.00
USDT depeg in 2025? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$3.46
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET · Down0.0900.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00−$1.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET · Down0.3110.000$0.00−$25.00
Will the government shutdown end November 14? · Yes0.1450.000$0.00−$25.00
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-12 12:16Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETBUY0.9399999906$4.00
06-02 15:56Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ETBUY0.08$25.00
06-02 15:52Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ETBUY0.6$10.00
06-02 09:59Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ETBUY0.6899999869$10.00
06-02 09:35Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETBUY0.3399999857$10.00
06-01 16:52Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETBUY0.5865384243$5.00
06-01 16:48Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETBUY0.0625647882$5.00
06-01 16:35Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETBUY0.299999982$10.00
06-01 16:31Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETBUY0.3799999833$10.00
06-01 16:27Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETBUY0.91$10.00
06-01 16:21Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETBUY0.4699999925$15.00
06-01 09:52Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETBUY0.04$5.00
06-01 09:50Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETBUY0.5499999956$25.00
06-01 09:46Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETBUY0.3110093353$25.00
06-01 09:35Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETBUY0.3299999591$5.00