kaioshin
0xff99bac9cfa7e74d961a48347b77fc24d4bbcf54
- Realised P&L
- $-144.33
- Volume
- $11.4k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $28.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample36 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$78.34at 0.927Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?
- +$26.26at 0.920Will MetaMask launch a token in 2025?
- +$24.63at 0.670Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$24.32at 0.678Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
- +$18.95at 0.356Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-12 12:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET | BUY | 0.9399999906 | $4.00 |
| 06-02 15:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $25.00 |
| 06-02 15:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |
| 06-02 09:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6899999869 | $10.00 |
| 06-02 09:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | BUY | 0.3399999857 | $10.00 |
| 06-01 16:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5865384243 | $5.00 |
| 06-01 16:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | BUY | 0.0625647882 | $5.00 |
| 06-01 16:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.299999982 | $10.00 |
| 06-01 16:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $10.00 |
| 06-01 16:27 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET | BUY | 0.91 | $10.00 |
| 06-01 16:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BUY | 0.4699999925 | $15.00 |
| 06-01 09:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |
| 06-01 09:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5499999956 | $25.00 |
| 06-01 09:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET | BUY | 0.3110093353 | $25.00 |
| 06-01 09:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | BUY | 0.3299999591 | $5.00 |