PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Brother357

0xfa394a598dbf573202a8286b45f512c7a383977f

Realised P&L
$48.6k
Volume
$35.81M
Markets traded
1,025
Open portfolio
$31.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,025
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31? · No0.8610.968$6.4k+$709.80
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.8410.980$4.1k+$578.99
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7970.825$2.9k+$98.04
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? · Yes0.4810.983$2.2k+$1.1k
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.8540.960$1.5k+$160.60
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027? · No0.8450.979$1.4k+$190.32
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4340.413$1.2k−$60.06
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? · No0.9560.981$922.86+$22.89
Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · No0.7450.951$892.49+$193.08
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4960.959$772.58+$372.59
Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy? · No0.8180.942$694.41+$91.39
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0010.003$647.19+$262.76
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? · No0.8440.930$521.75+$48.28
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? · No0.8930.989$445.43+$43.10
NATO article 5 before 2027? · No0.8810.958$373.35+$29.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 20:17Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?SELL0.002$14.55
10-29 20:33NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.003$0.06
10-29 19:01Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?BUY0.89$8.90
10-28 17:10Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?SELL0.0052287582$0.13
10-28 10:17Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.019$5.15
10-28 10:17Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?SELL0.08$39.68
10-27 15:31Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?SELL0.049$0.73
10-27 13:59Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026?BUY0.025$4.54
10-26 11:23Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.006$32.50
10-19 20:05Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?SELL0.816$9.76
10-13 13:00Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?BUY0.95$19.00
10-13 10:16Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?SELL0.61$87.54
10-11 14:26Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?SELL0.11$0.85
10-06 21:27Base iPhone 18 released by April 30, 2027?BUY0.22$25.00
09-21 15:32Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.04$44.00