Brother357
0xfa394a598dbf573202a8286b45f512c7a383977f
- Realised P&L
- $48.6k
- Volume
- $35.81M
- Markets traded
- 1,025
- Open portfolio
- $31.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,025
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.0kat 0.951France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
- +$1.6kat 0.915NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
- +$1.5kat 0.017Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 15, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.001Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?
- +$1.2kat 0.700Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 20:17 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $14.55 |
| 10-29 20:33 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.06 |
| 10-29 19:01 | Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 10-28 17:10 | Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | SELL | 0.0052287582 | $0.13 |
| 10-28 10:17 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.019 | $5.15 |
| 10-28 10:17 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.08 | $39.68 |
| 10-27 15:31 | Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | SELL | 0.049 | $0.73 |
| 10-27 13:59 | Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? | BUY | 0.025 | $4.54 |
| 10-26 11:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.006 | $32.50 |
| 10-19 20:05 | Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.816 | $9.76 |
| 10-13 13:00 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | BUY | 0.95 | $19.00 |
| 10-13 10:16 | Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? | SELL | 0.61 | $87.54 |
| 10-11 14:26 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $0.85 |
| 10-06 21:27 | Base iPhone 18 released by April 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.22 | $25.00 |
| 09-21 15:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $44.00 |