PolyBot

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Traders

acuellarF

0xc7fbc818c08e6984542749d351e73578038f8eb0

Realised P&L
$2.2k
Volume
$101.2k
Markets traded
504
Open portfolio
$20.8k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded504
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8770.895$1.0k+$19.77
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.7650.935$906.95+$164.45
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7890.945$764.27+$126.25
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.8350.954$638.84+$79.15
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8760.895$634.60+$13.50
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.6120.535$602.71$86.95
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.7230.926$560.69+$123.21
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8330.935$550.55+$59.85
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.6840.765$535.50+$56.40
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.6170.705$477.95+$59.94
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · Yes0.6900.930$409.20+$105.40
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5230.595$357.00+$43.20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.5730.825$326.94+$99.97
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.8990.905$319.82+$1.94
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? · Yes0.5780.785$319.66+$84.34

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 20:122026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.9$45.00
09-17 20:10Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.553$4.42
09-17 20:08Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?BUY0.84$42.00
09-17 20:08Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?BUY0.64$64.00
09-17 18:44Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?BUY0.334$13.36
09-17 18:44Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?BUY0.592$29.60
09-17 18:38Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.5923000964$50.00
09-17 18:38Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.3599999997$50.00
09-17 14:20Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.46$4.41
09-17 13:15Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?BUY0.729$29.16
09-17 13:14Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on September 30?SELL0.87$26.97
09-17 13:11Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.71$21.29
09-17 13:10Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.64$19.20
09-17 13:072026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.9$27.00
09-17 13:05Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.95$19.00