PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

acuellarF

0xc7fbc818c08e6984542749d351e73578038f8eb0

Realised P&L
$-863.25
Volume
$111.6k
Markets traded
562
Open portfolio
$19.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded562
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8800.945$1.1k+$77.27
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.7720.925$934.24+$154.16
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5830.705$782.55+$134.96
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7890.959$775.19+$137.16
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8760.945$670.05+$48.95
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.8350.973$651.57+$91.88
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.7231.000$604.87+$167.39
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8330.972$572.04+$81.34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.6110.885$412.66+$127.59
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? · Yes0.6900.899$395.78+$91.98
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.6240.555$392.91−$49.10
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8560.945$378.00+$35.61
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7310.923$340.69+$70.86
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? · Yes0.6710.820$337.62+$61.12
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.8990.945$333.95+$16.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 17:122026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.66$33.00
10-22 16:392026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.67$40.20
10-22 16:38Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.779$77.90
10-22 16:362026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.67$134.00
10-22 16:36Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.779$116.85
10-19 01:10Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.462$9.24
10-18 14:17Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.808$40.40
10-18 14:16Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?BUY0.72$36.00
10-18 14:15Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?BUY0.78$39.00
10-18 14:15Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?BUY0.86$172.00
10-14 20:28No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?BUY0.83$16.60
10-14 20:26Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?BUY0.864$43.20
10-11 23:43No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?BUY0.69$69.00
10-11 23:43Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?BUY0.202$20.20
10-11 17:29Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.901$18.02