acuellarF
0xc7fbc818c08e6984542749d351e73578038f8eb0
- Realised P&L
- $-863.25
- Volume
- $111.6k
- Markets traded
- 562
- Open portfolio
- $19.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded562
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$418.67at 0.388Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
- +$410.94at 0.505Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
- +$367.80at 0.194Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?
- +$306.92at 0.506Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?
- +$255.06at 0.120Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 17:12 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.66 | $33.00 |
| 10-22 16:39 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.67 | $40.20 |
| 10-22 16:38 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.779 | $77.90 |
| 10-22 16:36 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.67 | $134.00 |
| 10-22 16:36 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.779 | $116.85 |
| 10-19 01:10 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.462 | $9.24 |
| 10-18 14:17 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.808 | $40.40 |
| 10-18 14:16 | Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? | BUY | 0.72 | $36.00 |
| 10-18 14:15 | Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? | BUY | 0.78 | $39.00 |
| 10-18 14:15 | Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.86 | $172.00 |
| 10-14 20:28 | No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.83 | $16.60 |
| 10-14 20:26 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.864 | $43.20 |
| 10-11 23:43 | No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.69 | $69.00 |
| 10-11 23:43 | Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.202 | $20.20 |
| 10-11 17:29 | Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.901 | $18.02 |