PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

azot

0xf75b23f43d73d0873c9b415b8d119c902dbc672e

Realised P&L
$-271.18
Volume
$504.4k
Markets traded
94
Open portfolio
$1.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded94
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.7400.935$631.96+$131.96
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes0.7900.935$591.77+$91.77
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · No0.9060.982$541.82+$41.82
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5720.205$35.83$64.17
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.055$9.17$10.83
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.045$8.18$11.82
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.2000.065$6.50$13.50
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1380.000$0.00$100.00
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00$1000.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0930.000$0.00$100.00
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.6850.000$0.00$40.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No0.5900.000$0.00$500.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? · Yes0.5270.000$0.00$2.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 21:17Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.6853165172$40.00
07-07 05:13Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1849999987$100.00
05-11 16:59US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.5899999996$500.00
05-10 04:38Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?BUY0.4888032359$100.00
05-10 04:38Epstein suicide note released by May 31?BUY0.8199999993$200.00
05-10 04:36Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?BUY0.543055311$200.00
05-10 04:32Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7322137437$700.00
04-13 18:27Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?BUY0.6667849583$366.01
04-08 11:31Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?BUY0.9056070165$3.9k
04-08 05:18Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?SELL0.2832772832$755.40
04-08 05:00Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?BUY0.6$1000.00
04-08 04:59Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?BUY0.527010277$2.0k
04-08 04:57Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.37$20.55
04-08 04:57Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?SELL0.4934900597$428.44
04-08 04:55US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?SELL0.0530922211$115.52