cmarx
0x173314380de52766200850634f85a1b7a88b9411
- Realised P&L
- $4.0k
- Volume
- $213.3k
- Markets traded
- 134
- Open portfolio
- $8.1k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded134
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.690Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$1.2kat 0.684US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$1.2kat 0.737Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
- +$1.1kat 0.404Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
- +$974.52at 0.446Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 02:41 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17? | BUY | 0.8 | $960.00 |
| 08-07 19:04 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $228.24 |
| 08-07 19:04 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4833611186 | $35.95 |
| 08-07 19:04 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $381.02 |
| 08-07 19:03 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $32.40 |
| 08-07 19:03 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6698814229 | $1.7k |
| 08-07 19:03 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SELL | 0.72 | $3.9k |
| 08-07 19:02 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.3790334728 | $181.18 |
| 08-07 18:49 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.6635946574 | $11.43 |
| 08-07 18:48 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.1k |
| 08-07 18:48 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.65965715 | $1.3k |
| 08-07 18:48 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.6188352672 | $1.2k |
| 08-07 18:48 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.86 | $3.8k |
| 08-07 03:43 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.299925164 | $749.81 |
| 08-06 18:44 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.78 | $507.60 |