PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

cmarx

0x173314380de52766200850634f85a1b7a88b9411

Realised P&L
$221.94
Volume
$286.3k
Markets traded
152
Open portfolio
$16.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded152
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-17 01:18Papertrade FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.549899999$549.89
10-17 01:04Papertrade FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY0.4495$89.90
10-17 01:03Papertrade FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.5447899479$544.78
10-17 01:01Papertrade FDV above $150M one day after launch?BUY0.638$319.00
10-16 01:22Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?BUY0.042$1.94
10-15 21:33Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?BUY0.1474599626$842.96
10-12 16:19Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?BUY0.7636960319$396.08
10-10 21:05Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?SELL0.6$1.3k
10-02 21:18Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.32$640.00
10-02 21:17Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?SELL0.7790164686$1.4k
10-02 21:16Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?SELL0.6469362436$912.01
10-02 21:15Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.32$224.00
09-25 20:12Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.5711134608$6.9k
09-07 02:59Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1510?BUY0.79$284.40
09-04 03:56Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?BUY0.8$324.00