Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-01
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.042. down 0.103 over the period, from 0.145. Range 0.015 to 0.150. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.057	15	15
0.059	70	85
0.060	40	125
0.070	50	175
0.072	134	309
0.073	10	319
0.084	45	364
0.085	130	494
0.086	695	1,189
0.087	32	1,220
0.089	150	1,370
0.090	40	1,410

Spread0.031Mid0.042

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.026	68	68
0.012	264	332
0.011	274	606
0.010	100	706
0.004	250	956
0.003	333	1,289
0.002	866	2,155
0.001	2,237	4,392

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.974	68	68
0.988	264	332
0.989	274	606
0.990	100	706
0.996	250	956
0.997	333	1,289
0.998	866	2,155
0.999	2,237	4,392

Spread0.031Mid0.958

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.943	15	15
0.941	70	85
0.940	40	125
0.930	50	175
0.928	134	309
0.927	10	319
0.916	45	364
0.915	130	494
0.914	695	1,189
0.913	32	1,220
0.911	150	1,370
0.910	40	1,410

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
bmtr	Yes	4,137.29
HerrieDavis	Yes	910.31
caspar1248	Yes	680
Nostdam	Yes	465.58
PavtheGreat	Yes	300
laplacesdemon3	Yes	294.99
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271	Yes	264
Dr.PNL	Yes	197.89
sdfsdfsdfsdf2	Yes	160
wert4	Yes	117.8
1in1000	Yes	100.01
TouchDownThana	Yes	100
poklo	Yes	85
dante321	Yes	80
0xae37396b4fC17d73e8b0888acD53C7238049f380-1781303805959	Yes	73.19
0xd38F5f17D57b4deD218dfCBcA4Bd8dEEe78ABf78-1782112319192	Yes	70
0xca3E18433673840A94b0376604068cf2e65CC9FF-1767540204047	Yes	26.67
huhuu44	Yes	20
Slackjaw	Yes	20
gfdgfvfvssdd	Yes	20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
15:46:03	SELL	No	0.944	60	$56.64
09:15:25	BUY	No	0.989	26	$25.71
08:59:58	SELL	No	0.978	25	$24.41
15:42:42	BUY	No	0.97	2	$2.05
12:32:52	SELL	Yes	0.03	8	$0.24
10:06:40	BUY	No	0.95	10	$9.50
10:06:40	BUY	No	0.9600149775	20	$19.23
09:26:49	SELL	Yes	0.06	35	$2.10
09:26:48	SELL	Yes	0.07	9	$0.63
09:26:42	SELL	No	0.92	3	$2.42
09:26:36	SELL	Yes	0.07	20	$1.40
09:26:33	BUY	No	0.92	40	$36.80
09:26:33	BUY	No	0.92	80	$73.60
09:26:33	BUY	No	0.92	3	$2.42
09:26:33	BUY	No	0.93	21	$19.53
09:26:33	BUY	No	0.92	84	$77.17
09:26:31	BUY	No	0.92	100	$92.00
21:41:52	BUY	No	0.9	10	$9.00
21:41:52	BUY	No	0.9	13	$11.52
04:42:37	BUY	No	0.9	2	$1.35
04:35:36	BUY	No	0.9	1	$1.05
04:21:37	BUY	No	0.9	2	$1.48
04:11:30	BUY	No	0.9	2	$1.96
04:04:09	BUY	No	0.9	2	$1.45
04:01:40	BUY	No	0.9	1	$1.30