poklo
0x4e0eac9d3b3ecbb6e4ab6945df303fe88bcde7a4
- Realised P&L
- $-93.70
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $11.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.128 | $6.38 | +$1.38 |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.038 | $3.27 | −$4.38 |
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.150 | 0.034 | $2.35 | −$8.15 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? · No | 0.169 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.48 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch? · No | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.80 |
| Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.75at 0.009Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-1.45at 0.280MegaETH FDV above $1.2B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-17 18:19 | Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 07-05 11:20 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.008 | $4.00 |
| 06-16 14:41 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.009 | $4.50 |
| 06-01 21:35 | Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.15 | $0.75 |
| 04-30 11:29 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.063 | $3.78 |
| 04-30 07:29 | Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.02 |
| 04-27 20:08 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.11 | $5.50 |
| 04-27 15:10 | MegaETH FDV above $1.2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.28 | $28.00 |