dante321
0xeac7cdf4e119c33c0d396c278b6030a139ee3eaa
- Realised P&L
- $3.4k
- Volume
- $571.6k
- Markets traded
- 283
- Open portfolio
- $3.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded283
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.038 | $3.08 | −$16.92 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$43.00 |
| Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs OlyBet SB (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group D · OlyBet SB | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$106.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.7kat 0.220Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$1.5kat 0.384Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
- +$1.0kat 0.576Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$841.73at 0.765Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
- +$834.21at 0.303Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 20:06 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1490? | BUY | 0.43 | $21.50 |
| 09-04 20:06 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? | BUY | 0.71 | $106.50 |
| 09-04 20:06 | Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $20.00 |
| 09-03 09:40 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $23.25 |
| 09-03 09:40 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $60.00 |
| 08-10 19:13 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $31.50 |
| 08-10 19:12 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.496 | $18.35 |
| 07-18 12:50 | Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs OlyBet SB (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group D | SELL | 0.262 | $13.10 |
| 07-18 12:38 | Counter-Strike: ex-MANA eSports vs OlyBet SB (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #5 Group D | BUY | 0.14 | $11.20 |
| 07-13 11:44 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $100.00 |
| 07-02 06:51 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $19.81 |
| 06-29 16:28 | Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30? | SELL | 0.991 | $173.73 |
| 06-28 15:35 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $42.00 |
| 06-23 17:27 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.919 | $98.67 |
| 06-23 17:27 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.924 | $13.52 |