Nostdam
0xe732156a2d84cdfb4de831d3f11a22899e49898f
- Realised P&L
- $61.0k
- Volume
- $5.09M
- Markets traded
- 3,289
- Open portfolio
- $926.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded3,289
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.4kat 0.134Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
- +$5.1kat 0.641Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by February 6?
- +$5.0kat 0.934Will another person/thing be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
- +$3.8kat 0.618Canadiens vs. Senators
- +$2.7kat 0.420Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 21:46 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.489119098 | $55.52 |
| 09-19 20:19 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.2106092241 | $56.49 |
| 09-19 18:59 | Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1? | SELL | 0.215 | $21.50 |
| 09-19 16:13 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.33 | $15.91 |
| 09-19 16:13 | Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.377 | $82.94 |
| 09-19 04:37 | Will "Forgotten Island" score at least 95 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.6168908695 | $59.52 |
| 09-18 03:42 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m? | BUY | 0.36 | $47.03 |
| 09-17 23:38 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m? | SELL | 0.45 | $90.31 |
| 09-17 01:53 | Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m? | BUY | 0.1553421833 | $63.42 |
| 09-15 02:02 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.61 | $122.00 |
| 09-14 23:56 | Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.1906 | $19.06 |
| 09-13 04:15 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 7th Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m? | BUY | 0.0185066258 | $2.23 |
| 09-12 01:42 | Will Meta be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $51.52 |
| 09-11 00:11 | Will "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 6m? | BUY | 0.2376923077 | $6.18 |
| 09-11 00:11 | Will "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3m? | BUY | 0.8285611141 | $170.76 |