Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-12-31
Resolves by: https://lmarena.ai/

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.051. down 0.006 over the period, from 0.058. Range 0.050 to 0.061. 144 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.052	388	388
0.053	63	451
0.056	22	473
0.057	2,083	2,556
0.058	104	2,660
0.059	156	2,816
0.060	57	2,873
0.061	52	2,925
0.062	57	2,982
0.081	500	3,482
0.082	15	3,497
0.083	141	3,638

Spread0.001Mid0.051

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.051	1,058	1,058
0.050	45	1,102
0.048	123	1,226
0.047	87	1,313
0.046	92	1,405
0.045	126	1,531
0.044	99	1,630
0.043	108	1,738
0.040	200	1,938
0.036	5	1,943
0.035	571	2,514
0.033	35	2,549

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.949	1,058	1,058
0.950	45	1,102
0.952	123	1,226
0.953	87	1,313
0.954	92	1,405
0.955	126	1,531
0.956	99	1,630
0.957	108	1,738
0.960	200	1,938
0.964	5	1,943
0.965	571	2,514
0.967	35	2,549

Spread0.001Mid0.948

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.948	388	388
0.947	63	451
0.944	22	473
0.943	2,083	2,556
0.942	104	2,660
0.941	156	2,816
0.940	57	2,873
0.939	52	2,925
0.938	57	2,982
0.919	500	3,482
0.918	15	3,497
0.917	141	3,638

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Hyperlong	Yes	14,825.56
eNakeVets	Yes	13,742.89
Avotoast	Yes	10,000.02
cowcat	Yes	9,794.59
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938	Yes	7,953.64
crop?	Yes	7,809.48
TheWindKnowsmyName	Yes	7,449.2
back-in-whack	Yes	5,025.01
bmtr	Yes	4,686.69
Ondra	Yes	4,141.79
MineYours	Yes	3,868.07
dexsheet	Yes	3,504.58
donthackme	Yes	3,253.57
Brovadana	Yes	3,242.2
aiyosi	Yes	3,238.06
TBill1	Yes	3,055.86
JungPung	Yes	2,999.96
ttttefqesfe	Yes	2,082.48
0x8c07…2967	Yes	1,999
0x8747…551a	Yes	1,966.83

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
11:53:58	SELL	No	0.948	229	$217.09
11:47:07	SELL	No	0.948	39	$36.82
10:32:07	BUY	Yes	0.0519999998	192	$10.00
10:26:46	BUY	Yes	0.0519999997	58	$3.00
07:28:10	SELL	No	0.948	7	$6.78
06:38:46	SELL	No	0.948	5	$4.28
06:36:00	SELL	No	0.948	6	$5.74
06:22:28	BUY	No	0.95	5	$5.19
02:25:18	BUY	No	0.952	6	$5.77
02:25:15	BUY	No	0.952	7	$6.81
00:35:43	BUY	No	0.952	5	$4.30
23:54:16	BUY	Yes	0.0519999995	96	$5.00
23:26:22	BUY	Yes	0.0519999979	19	$1.00
22:12:27	SELL	No	0.945	7	$6.28
21:56:34	BUY	Yes	0.051	88	$4.48
21:56:31	BUY	Yes	0.051	356	$18.17
21:56:30	BUY	No	0.9456768891	190	$180.09
21:56:30	BUY	No	0.945	105	$99.22
19:48:33	SELL	Yes	0.055	17	$0.95
18:19:49	BUY	Yes	0.0569999995	88	$5.00
18:09:28	BUY	No	0.945	7	$6.28
17:07:19	SELL	No	0.943	7	$7.00
16:08:51	SELL	Yes	0.0557011233	84	$4.66
16:04:21	SELL	No	0.943	8	$7.40
15:16:34	SELL	Yes	0.056	22	$1.23