PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ttttefqesfe

0xd5657d46a8a2eea614f5e0d06c08dfea93ef1094

Realised P&L
$-166.58
Volume
$17.9k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$154.88

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration59.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0380.051$107.25+$27.26
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8710.845$47.63−$1.51
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 21, 2026? · Yes0.0860.000$0.00−$4.15
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$12.00
French election called by October 31? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$16.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 09:36Will David Lisnard advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?SELL0.879$6.60
10-04 09:24Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.885$7.87
10-04 09:24Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.885$7.96
10-01 13:07Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.041$1.72
09-21 12:49Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.29$12.50
09-21 12:49Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.29$12.08
04-21 14:37Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 21, 2026?BUY0.083$3.85
10-10 17:26French election called by October 31?BUY0.32$16.00
10-09 18:09French election called by October 31?SELL0.75$37.50
10-09 18:08French election called by December 31?SELL0.61$54.90
10-08 08:53French election called by October 31?BUY0.41$20.50
10-08 08:52French election called by December 31?BUY0.26$23.40
10-08 08:34Macron out in 2025?SELL0.1$20.00
10-06 13:22Macron out in 2025?BUY0.11$22.00
09-08 17:56Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?SELL0.0228888889$2.06